HAZE, ERNEST STEVEN
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H6CA21176- Internal id
58e62b97-06fa-4963-8abf-947c492275af- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-20. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 782,028 |
| People | Median age | 35 |
| Income | Median household income | $90,346 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $39,816 |
| Income | In poverty | 11.6% |
| Income | Unemployed | 6.8% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.435 |
| Race | White alone | 54.9% |
| Race | Black alone | 3.4% |
| Race | Asian alone | 8.1% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 36.5% |
| Race | Two or more races | 20.0% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 12.8% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 73.7% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 18.3% |
| Education | High school or higher | 53.5% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 29.1% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 10.6% |
| Household | Family households | 72.8% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.88 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 33.2% |
| Housing | Median home value | $408,800 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,572 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 75.1% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 2.3% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 4.7% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 8.0% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.0% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 92.9% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 5.1% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 77.8% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.3% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 9.3% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $0 | $225 | $5,595 | $154,460 | $0 |
| 2018 | $0 | $360 | $5,820 | $154,460 | $0 |
| 2016 | $0 | $360 | $6,180 | $154,460 | $0 |
| 2014 | $0 | $330 | $6,540 | $154,460 | $0 |
| 2012 | $45 | $360 | $6,870 | $154,460 | $0 |
| 2010 | $12,928 | $5,780 | $7,185 | $154,460 | $4,428 |
| 2008 | $31,281 | $31,086 | $36 | $146,460 | $6,621 |
| 2006 | $154,182 | $154,341 | $-159 | $123,100 | $15,327 |
Elections
- 2006 general house Β· CA-20 β running
- 2006 general house Β· CA-21 β lost_general
- 2008 general house Β· CA-21 β lost_general
- 2008 general house Β· CA-20 β running
- 2010 general house Β· CA-20 β lost_general
Committees
- HAZE FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | HAZE FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |