KRUSE, LANCE ALVIN
OTHER Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H6CA21275- Internal id
1e8d2435-7499-4e2a-bc33-3334df8085a3- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-21. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 758,000 |
| People | Median age | 32 |
| Income | Median household income | $64,764 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $26,800 |
| Income | In poverty | 21.9% |
| Income | Unemployed | 10.1% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.463 |
| Race | White alone | 29.3% |
| Race | Black alone | 4.6% |
| Race | Asian alone | 9.8% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 65.0% |
| Race | Two or more races | 27.1% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 21.5% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 49.5% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 42.0% |
| Education | High school or higher | 42.8% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 17.1% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 5.5% |
| Household | Family households | 72.4% |
| Household | Avg household size | 3.25 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 43.2% |
| Housing | Median home value | $334,100 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,293 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 66.9% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 6.4% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 13.6% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 4.9% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 3.8% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 87.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 8.9% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 72.7% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.0% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 8.8% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $1,900 | $1,740 | $160 | $1,900 | $0 |
Elections
- 2026 general house Β· CA-21 β running
Committees
- LANCE KRUSE FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 15.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | LANCE KRUSE FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |