BAINS, JASMEET

D · house

FEC candidate id: H6CA22208
Internal id: c9628934-0bb7-41f1-99b8-29bc651e54f2
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-22. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	780,759
People	Median age	31
Income	Median household income	$58,828
Income	Per-capita income	$22,039
Income	In poverty	22.7%
Income	Unemployed	10.0%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.441
Race	White alone	31.9%
Race	Black alone	4.5%
Race	Asian alone	3.8%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	74.2%
Race	Two or more races	29.8%
Origin	Foreign-born	26.6%
Language	Speaks English only at home	39.3%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	56.5%
Education	High school or higher	40.6%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	10.2%
Education	Advanced degree	3.0%
Household	Family households	78.4%
Household	Avg household size	3.44
Household	Never married (15+)	43.9%
Housing	Median home value	$285,600
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,189
Housing	Single-family detached	70.5%
Housing	Built before 1940	5.6%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	14.1%
Housing	Vacant units	5.6%
Service	Veterans (18+)	3.0%
Health	With a disability	11.7%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	88.7%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	8.6%
Commute	Drove alone	77.8%
Commute	Public transit	0.5%
Commute	Worked from home	4.9%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$1,111,524	$410,992	$700,532	$23,430	$947,487

Elections

2026 general house · CA-22 — running

Committees

DR. JASMEET BAINS FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
D (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2026	$1,151,573	$400,000	16

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
—	WELCOMEPAC	support	$87,500	Text Messaging, List Acquisition & Direct Mail - Estimate
—	WELCOMEPAC	support	$2,625	Digital Production - Estimate
2026-05-14	EDW ACTION FUND	support	$751	Direct Mail Advertising
2026-05-13	EDW ACTION FUND	support	$6,156	Direct Mail Advertising
2026-05-13	PROJECT 218	support	$100,000	Digital Advertising
2026-05-12	EDW ACTION FUND	support	$6,076	Direct Mail Advertising
2026-05-12	EDW ACTION FUND	support	$23,856	Direct Mail Advertising
2026-05-12	EDW ACTION FUND	support	$751	Direct Mail Advertising
2026-05-08	314 ACTION FUND	support	$300,000	Advertising
2026-05-08	EDW ACTION FUND	support	$23,856	Direct Mail Advertising
2026-05-05	314 ACTION FUND	support	$300,000	Advertising
2026-05-05	314 ACTION FUND	support	$300,000	Advertising
2026-05-04	PROGRESSIVE PROMISE	oppose	$10,000	Media Production
2026-05-04	PROGRESSIVE PROMISE	oppose	$10,000	Media Production
2026-05-04	PROGRESSIVE PROMISE	oppose	$190,000	Streaming & Youtube Ads
2026-05-04	PROGRESSIVE PROMISE	oppose	$190,000	Streaming & Youtube Ads

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2026-03-31	DEFEND THE VOTE	24K	$1,000
2026-03-30	STATE BUILDING & CONSTRUCTION TRADES COUNCIL OF…	24K	$1,500
2026-03-30	AT THE TABLE!	24K	$1,000
2026-03-30	STATE BUILDING & CONSTRUCTION TRADES COUNCIL OF…	24K	$3,500
2026-02-26	LABORERS' INTERNATIONAL UNION OF NORTH AMERICA …	24K	$2,500
2026-02-24	CARPENTERS LEGISLATIVE IMPROVEMENT COMMITTEE UN…	24K	$5,000
2026-02-05	WELCOMEPAC	24K	$5,000
2026-01-27	EMILYS LIST	24K	$25
2026-01-25	EMILYS LIST	24K	$10
2026-01-21	EMILYS LIST	24K	$50
2026-01-09	SERVICE FIRST PAC	24K	$2,000
2026-01-07	INTERNATIONAL UNION OF PAINTERS AND ALLIED TRAD…	24K	$5,000
2025-12-30	NATIONAL AUTOMOBILE DEALERS ASSOCIATION POLITIC…	24K	$2,500
2025-12-24	DEFEAT EXTREMISTS	24K	$1,000
2025-12-19	COWEN FOR CONGRESS	24K	$2,000
2025-12-19	LEADERSHIP OPPORTUNITY INNOVATION SERVICE PAC	24K	$1,000
2025-12-18	EMILYS LIST	24K	$5,000
2025-12-18	314 ACTION FUND	24K	$5,000
2025-12-17	PAC OF APPLES	24K	$1,000
2025-12-17	BLUE DOG POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	24K	$2,500
2025-12-17	STANTON FOR CONGRESS	24K	$1,000
2025-12-12	BRIDGE THE GAP PAC	24K	$1,000
2025-12-10	AMERICAN SOCIETY OF ANESTHESIOLOGISTS POLITICAL…	24K	$5,000
2025-12-08	NEW DEMOCRAT COALITION ACTION FUND	24K	$5,000
2025-11-19	SILICORN VALLEY PAC	24K	$1,000

Top individual donors (2026 cycle)

Via this candidate's principal committee DR. JASMEET BAINS FOR CONGRESS.

Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.

Donor	Employer / occupation	City, ST	Gifts	Total
GROSSMAN, BARBARA	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	BOSTON, MA	1	$833
HESS, DAVID	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	BAKERSFIELD, CA	1	$500
SINGH, MANBIR	MANBIR SINGH · PHYSICIAN	BAKERSFIELD, CA	1	$500
KAHLON, SUKHNINDER	NOT EMPLOYED · RETIRED	BAKERSFIELD, CA	1	$500
MCNAUGHTON, JARROD	INLAND EMPIRE HEALTH PLAN · CEO	BAKERSFIELD, CA	1	$500
DAVIS, RICHARD	SELF EMPLOYED · ATTORNEY	NEW YORK, NY	1	$500
SIMMONS, ANGUS	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	CAMARILLO, CA	2	$300
CLARK, LESLIE W	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	TAFT, CA	1	$250
BUSS, KIMBERLY	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	SACRAMENTO, CA	1	$250
BAINS, BOBBY	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	COLLEGE STATION, TX	1	$100
FLORES, HECTOR	ALTAIS FCS · PHYSICIAN	WHITTIER, CA	1	$100
RODEMS, JEANNINE	SELF EMPLOYED · PHYSICIAN	SOQUEL, CA	1	$100
HAWKINS, WILLIAM III III	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	NORFOLK, MA	3	$75
MCGREGOR, REID	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	BAKERSFIELD, CA	3	$67
WHITE, ELAINE	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	BAKERSFIELD, CA	1	$50
DAWSON, JANET	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	CHICO, CA	2	$50
PATE, DEB	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	LAWRENCE, KS	4	$50
KARNY, LORI	SELF EMPLOYED · CLINICAL SOCIAL WORKER	LOS ANGELES, CA	3	$49
PORTER, RICHARD	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	CORONA, CA	6	$47
SOSO, MICHAEL	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	PITTSBURGH, PA	2	$17
PFIESTER, EDW	SELF EMPLOYED · ATTORNEY	LOS ANGELES, CA	2	$12

Connected on the graph

Inbound (60)

date	from	type	amount	source
—	WELCOMEPAC	supports_independently	$2,625	fec_ies
—	WELCOMEPAC	supports_independently	$87,500	fec_ies
2026-05-14	EDW ACTION FUND	supports_independently	$751	fec_ies
2026-05-13	PROJECT 218	supports_independently	$100,000	fec_ies
2026-05-13	EDW ACTION FUND	supports_independently	$6,156	fec_ies
2026-05-12	EDW ACTION FUND	supports_independently	$23,856	fec_ies
2026-05-12	EDW ACTION FUND	supports_independently	$751	fec_ies
2026-05-12	EDW ACTION FUND	supports_independently	$6,076	fec_ies
2026-05-08	314 ACTION FUND	supports_independently	$300,000	fec_ies
2026-05-08	EDW ACTION FUND	supports_independently	$23,856	fec_ies
2026-05-05	314 ACTION FUND	supports_independently	$300,000	fec_ies
2026-05-05	314 ACTION FUND	supports_independently	$300,000	fec_ies
2026-05-04	PROGRESSIVE PROMISE	opposes_independently	$10,000	fec_ies
2026-05-04	PROGRESSIVE PROMISE	opposes_independently	$190,000	fec_ies
2026-05-04	PROGRESSIVE PROMISE	opposes_independently	$10,000	fec_ies
2026-05-04	PROGRESSIVE PROMISE	opposes_independently	$190,000	fec_ies
2026-03-31	DEFEND THE VOTE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2026-03-30	AT THE TABLE!	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2026-03-30	STATE BUILDING & CONSTRUCTION TRADES COUNCIL OF CALIFORNIA FEDERAL PAC	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2026-03-30	STATE BUILDING & CONSTRUCTION TRADES COUNCIL OF CALIFORNIA FEDERAL PAC	contributed_to	$3,500	pas2
2026-02-26	LABORERS' INTERNATIONAL UNION OF NORTH AMERICA (LIUNA) PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2026-02-24	CARPENTERS LEGISLATIVE IMPROVEMENT COMMITTEE UNITED BROTHERHOOD OF CARPENTERS AND JOINERS	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-02-05	WELCOMEPAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-01-27	EMILYS LIST	contributed_to	$25	pas2
2026-01-25	EMILYS LIST	contributed_to	$10	pas2
2026-01-21	EMILYS LIST	contributed_to	$50	pas2
2026-01-09	SERVICE FIRST PAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2026-01-07	INTERNATIONAL UNION OF PAINTERS AND ALLIED TRADES POLITICAL ACTION TOGETHER POLITICAL COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-12-30	NATIONAL AUTOMOBILE DEALERS ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2025-12-24	DEFEAT EXTREMISTS	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2025-12-19	COWEN FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2025-12-19	LEADERSHIP OPPORTUNITY INNOVATION SERVICE PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2025-12-18	314 ACTION FUND	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-12-18	EMILYS LIST	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-12-17	STANTON FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2025-12-17	BLUE DOG POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2025-12-17	PAC OF APPLES	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2025-12-12	BRIDGE THE GAP PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2025-12-10	AMERICAN SOCIETY OF ANESTHESIOLOGISTS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (ASA PAC)	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-12-08	NEW DEMOCRAT COALITION ACTION FUND	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-11-19	SILICORN VALLEY PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2025-11-12	WOMEN'S POLITICAL COMMITTEE FEDERAL	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-11-06	SCANLON FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2025-09-30	JUDY CHU FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2025-09-30	DEFEAT EXTREMISTS	contributed_to	$3,000	pas2
2025-09-29	NATIONAL UNION OF HEALTHCARE WORKERS FEDERAL COMMITTEE ON POLITICAL EDUCATION	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-09-19	TURNOUT FOR DEMOCRACY	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2025-09-19	THE DOCTORS COMPANY FEDERAL PAC (DOCPAC)	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-09-17	ADAM GRAY FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2025-09-17	ADAM GRAY FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2025-09-09	ELECT DEMOCRATIC WOMEN	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-08-26	ASIAN AMERICAN ACTION FUND	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2025-08-21	NATIONAL UNION OF HEALTHCARE WORKERS FEDERAL COMMITTEE ON POLITICAL EDUCATION	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-07-31	AMERICAN ACADEMY OF FAMILY PHYSICIANS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (FAMMEDPAC)	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-07-22	DEFEAT EXTREMISTS	contributed_to	$497	pas2
2025-07-22	INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF ELECTRICAL WORKERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-07-22	INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF ELECTRICAL WORKERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-07-21	ASPIRE PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-07-16	YOUTH SAVE DEMOCRACY PAC	contributed_to	$3,500	pas2
2025-07-10	SEIU COPE (SERVICE EMPLOYEES INTERNATIONAL UNION COMMITTEE ON POLITICAL EDUCATION)	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	DR. JASMEET BAINS FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees

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