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TUCKER, MICHAEL WYATT II

D Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H6CA28197
Internal id
db44f3ef-085c-4db6-8cdf-c1d553a367bf
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-28. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation743,063
PeopleMedian age43
IncomeMedian household income$107,786
IncomePer-capita income$55,489
IncomeIn poverty9.8%
IncomeUnemployed5.7%
IncomeGini inequality index0.487
RaceWhite alone29.9%
RaceBlack alone4.1%
RaceAsian alone38.4%
RaceHispanic or Latino26.9%
RaceTwo or more races13.3%
OriginForeign-born36.2%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home48.6%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home16.8%
EducationHigh school or higher65.4%
EducationBachelor's or higher48.4%
EducationAdvanced degree20.5%
HouseholdFamily households69.8%
HouseholdAvg household size2.73
HouseholdNever married (15+)35.3%
HousingMedian home value$991,700
HousingMedian gross rent$2,123
HousingSingle-family detached61.5%
HousingBuilt before 194011.7%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)5.8%
HousingVacant units7.0%
ServiceVeterans (18+)3.0%
HealthWith a disability10.2%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband94.3%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet4.3%
CommuteDrove alone64.4%
CommutePublic transit2.2%
CommuteWorked from home20.4%

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
D (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

Outbound (1)

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β€”principal_candidate_ofCOMMITTEE TO ELECT MICHAEL TUCKERβ€”candidate_committees

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