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FLYNN, SEAN

R Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H6CA31134
Internal id
52088cf6-cd12-4566-b150-7c7086364c5d
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-31. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation736,368
PeopleMedian age39
IncomeMedian household income$91,699
IncomePer-capita income$35,167
IncomeIn poverty11.6%
IncomeUnemployed6.2%
IncomeGini inequality index0.426
RaceWhite alone21.5%
RaceBlack alone2.6%
RaceAsian alone19.7%
RaceHispanic or Latino61.3%
RaceTwo or more races23.8%
OriginForeign-born35.2%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home38.4%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home43.9%
EducationHigh school or higher50.9%
EducationBachelor's or higher25.3%
EducationAdvanced degree8.0%
HouseholdFamily households78.0%
HouseholdAvg household size3.32
HouseholdNever married (15+)39.9%
HousingMedian home value$699,500
HousingMedian gross rent$1,980
HousingSingle-family detached63.7%
HousingBuilt before 19407.1%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)12.0%
HousingVacant units3.6%
ServiceVeterans (18+)3.0%
HealthWith a disability12.0%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband92.2%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet6.2%
CommuteDrove alone71.1%
CommutePublic transit2.1%
CommuteWorked from home11.1%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2026$0$0$236$722,882$0
2024$0$0$236$722,882$0
2022$0$0$236$722,882$0
2020$69,818$71,029$236$722,882$0
2018$1,363,972$1,399,111$1,447$788,632$429,891
2016$1,000,221$963,636$36,585$250,131$134,784

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

Outbound (1)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”principal_candidate_ofSEAN FLYNN FOR CONGRESSβ€”candidate_committees

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