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PHILLIPS, MIA MICHELLE

D Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H6CA32165
Internal id
5f41c4bd-aa48-4c4e-a380-77c2b824571b
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-32. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation762,403
PeopleMedian age41
IncomeMedian household income$111,824
IncomePer-capita income$69,284
IncomeIn poverty10.5%
IncomeUnemployed7.5%
IncomeGini inequality index0.531
RaceWhite alone53.7%
RaceBlack alone4.5%
RaceAsian alone12.8%
RaceHispanic or Latino26.2%
RaceTwo or more races13.7%
OriginForeign-born30.9%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home58.2%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home19.0%
EducationHigh school or higher67.2%
EducationBachelor's or higher52.5%
EducationAdvanced degree21.0%
HouseholdFamily households61.8%
HouseholdAvg household size2.53
HouseholdNever married (15+)36.8%
HousingMedian home value$1,086,900
HousingMedian gross rent$2,334
HousingSingle-family detached51.0%
HousingBuilt before 19405.4%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)6.3%
HousingVacant units7.0%
ServiceVeterans (18+)3.0%
HealthWith a disability10.1%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband95.7%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet3.0%
CommuteDrove alone61.8%
CommutePublic transit2.1%
CommuteWorked from home25.0%

Elections

Committees

No committees on file.

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
D (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

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