LUCERO, ROB
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H6CA34294- Internal id
96ad491f-1c8f-4914-bf95-87b0adca5372- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-34. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 748,464 |
| People | Median age | 37 |
| Income | Median household income | $63,055 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $34,276 |
| Income | In poverty | 20.6% |
| Income | Unemployed | 7.9% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.506 |
| Race | White alone | 16.9% |
| Race | Black alone | 4.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 17.4% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 64.4% |
| Race | Two or more races | 17.8% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 43.4% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 28.9% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 54.5% |
| Education | High school or higher | 49.9% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 29.4% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 9.2% |
| Household | Family households | 57.0% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.65 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 50.9% |
| Housing | Median home value | $838,100 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,631 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 26.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 8.5% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 19.8% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 7.2% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 1.7% |
| Health | With a disability | 12.2% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 88.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 9.3% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 55.5% |
| Commute | Public transit | 12.1% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 15.2% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $176,064 | $136,126 | $40,709 | $34,217 | $157,598 |
Elections
- 2026 general house Β· CA-34 β running
Committees
- LUCERO FOR CONGRESS INC. β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Top individual donors (2026 cycle)
Via this candidate's principal committee LUCERO FOR CONGRESS INC..
Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.
| Donor | Employer / occupation | City, ST | Gifts | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OLSEN, SCOTT | SELF-EMPOLYED Β· OFFICE WORK | SAN FRANCISCO, CA | 1 | $3,500 |
| SEEGER, CHRIS | SEEGER WEISS Β· ATTORNEY | RIDGEFIELD PARK, NJ | 1 | $3,500 |
| FOWLER, LARNED | LARNED FOWLER ATTORNEY AT LAW Β· ATTORNEY | DANA POINT, CA | 1 | $500 |
| HALDEN, WILLIAM | MOUNTAIN MEDICAL PHYSICIAN Β· PHYSICIAN-RADIOLOGIST | HOLLADAY, UT | 1 | $300 |
| AVERY, KATHLEEN | N/A Β· RETIRED | JEWETT CITY,, CT | 1 | $300 |
| HEALY, KEVIN | KEVIN HEALY-SELF-EMPLOYED Β· SOFTWARE | LA JOLLA, CA | 1 | $200 |
| BISS, KIMBERLY | WOMEN'S HEALTH OF FLORIDA Β· PHYSICIAN | ST PETERSBURG, FL | 1 | $200 |
| GAFFNEY, MONICA | MONICA GAFFNEY/SELF-EMPLOYED Β· ACCOUNTANT | NEW YORK, NY | 1 | $25 |
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | LUCERO FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |