ROYCE, ED MR.
R Β· house Β· bioguide R000487
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- FEC candidate id
H6CA39020- Internal id
d1dc7c28-2d71-41b2-b5f8-ab476baf72c1- Status
- incumbent
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-39. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 765,795 |
| People | Median age | 33 |
| Income | Median household income | $91,833 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $31,635 |
| Income | In poverty | 11.8% |
| Income | Unemployed | 6.6% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.405 |
| Race | White alone | 25.3% |
| Race | Black alone | 8.8% |
| Race | Asian alone | 6.4% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 63.3% |
| Race | Two or more races | 19.0% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 25.1% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 47.7% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 45.5% |
| Education | High school or higher | 50.5% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 20.0% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 7.3% |
| Household | Family households | 79.1% |
| Household | Avg household size | 3.57 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 42.9% |
| Housing | Median home value | $543,300 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,943 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 70.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.1% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 12.4% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 4.4% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 4.1% |
| Health | With a disability | 10.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 94.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 3.6% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 75.0% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.1% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 8.7% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | $2,181,651 | $2,818,198 | $2,171,353 | $504 | $1,256,986 |
| 2016 | $4,456,337 | $3,663,388 | $2,807,901 | $180,800 | $2,940,801 |
| 2014 | $3,192,507 | $1,743,860 | $2,014,546 | $28,039 | $2,005,524 |
| 2012 | $2,748,940 | $4,517,754 | $565,771 | $487,758 | $1,724,829 |
| 2010 | $1,797,849 | $1,661,978 | $2,334,760 | $0 | $956,894 |
| 2008 | $1,644,382 | $1,172,947 | $2,198,889 | $0 | $882,414 |
| 2006 | $1,520,397 | $1,317,280 | $1,726,823 | $0 | $881,513 |
| 2004 | $1,215,932 | $736,724 | $1,523,707 | $0 | $774,959 |
| 2002 | $1,100,175 | $845,665 | $1,044,499 | $0 | $705,826 |
| 2000 | $849,069 | $295,629 | $789,988 | $0 | $493,266 |
| 1998 | $587,551 | $487,001 | $236,548 | $0 | $356,885 |
| 1996 | $621,689 | $489,076 | $137,299 | $0 | $285,829 |
| 1994 | $401,249 | $403,335 | $4,686 | $13,154 | $256,017 |
| 1992 | $499,264 | $530,196 | $6,772 | $132,381 | $263,465 |
| 1990 | $9,798 | $6,840 | $37,705 | $0 | $4,920 |
| 1988 | $26,793 | $10,559 | $34,744 | $0 | $12,125 |
| 1986 | $54,855 | $36,344 | $18,510 | $0 | $0 |
Elections
- 1986 general house Β· CA-39 β won
- 1992 general house Β· CA-39 β won
- 1994 general house Β· CA-39 β won
- 1996 general house Β· CA-39 β won
- 1998 general house Β· CA-39 β won
- 2000 general house Β· CA-39 β won
- 2002 general house Β· CA-40 β won
- 2004 general house Β· CA-40 β won
- 2006 general house Β· CA-40 β won
- 2008 general house Β· CA-40 β won
- 2010 general house Β· CA-40 β won
- 2012 general house Β· CA-39 β won
- 2014 general house Β· CA-39 β won
- 2016 general house Β· CA-39 β won
- 2018 general house Β· CA-39 β lost_general
Committees
- CALIFORNIANS FOR A HOUSE MAJORITY β joint_fundraising Β· type N
- FRIENDS FOR A REPUBLICAN MAJORITY COMMITTEE β joint_fundraising Β· type N
- ROAD TO FREEDOM CAMPAIGN COMMITTEE β principal Β· type Q
- ROYCE VICTORY FUND β joint_fundraising Β· type N
- TARGET RACES COMMITTEE β joint_fundraising Β· type H
Recent votes
No votes on file.
Sponsored & cosponsored bills
No sponsorships on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 99.0%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| incumbent | +78.0% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (5)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | TARGET RACES COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | CALIFORNIANS FOR A HOUSE MAJORITY | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | ROYCE VICTORY FUND | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | FRIENDS FOR A REPUBLICAN MAJORITY COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | ROAD TO FREEDOM CAMPAIGN COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees |