KERR, JOSEPH
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H6CA40317- Internal id
ae4f38ec-5621-4b1c-b6c7-8063d397bc09- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-40. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 753,713 |
| People | Median age | 42 |
| Income | Median household income | $134,712 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $63,094 |
| Income | In poverty | 7.1% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.0% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.445 |
| Race | White alone | 51.1% |
| Race | Black alone | 1.8% |
| Race | Asian alone | 20.4% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 25.2% |
| Race | Two or more races | 16.4% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 25.2% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 64.3% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 15.1% |
| Education | High school or higher | 66.4% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 51.5% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 19.9% |
| Household | Family households | 73.9% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.79 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 28.9% |
| Housing | Median home value | $988,100 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $2,640 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 59.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 0.7% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 4.5% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 3.9% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 4.1% |
| Health | With a disability | 9.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 96.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 2.2% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 67.5% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.6% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 21.7% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $222,568 | $205,490 | $17,078 | $23,500 | $209,018 |
Elections
- 2026 general house Β· CA-40 β running
Committees
- JOE KERR FOR CALIFORNIA β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-06 | LEAGUE OF CONSERVATION VOTERS ACTION FUND | 24K | $50 |
| 2025-09-30 | NATIONAL UNION OF HEALTHCARE WORKERS FEDERAL CO⦠| 24K | $1,000 |
Top individual donors (2026 cycle)
Via this candidate's principal committee JOE KERR FOR CALIFORNIA.
Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.
| Donor | Employer / occupation | City, ST | Gifts | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| QUINN, MARY | MARY RUTH QUINN Β· PASTORAL COUNSELOR | BERKELEY, CA | 1 | $3,500 |
| SHENKER, SCOTT | ICSI Β· SCIENTIST | BERKELEY, CA | 1 | $3,500 |
| LAIRD, JO | PATTERSON BELKNAP WEBB & TYLER Β· ATTORNEY | NEW YORK, NY | 2 | $500 |
| KUHN, JEFFREY | N/A Β· UNEMPLOYED | HASTINGS-ON-HUDSON, NY | 1 | $250 |
| LACKO, LAURA | SELF Β· ADMINISTRATION | MISSION VIEJO, CA | 1 | $100 |
| GRIFFITH, HOLLY | D&E SUPPORT PROFESSIONALS INC Β· MANAGER | RANCHO SANTA MARGARITA, CA | 2 | $45 |
| PERLE, TED | NOT EMPLOYED Β· NOT EMPLOYED | LAKE FOREST, CA | 1 | $25 |
| HEISTAND, MARY | NOT EMPLOYED Β· NOT EMPLOYED | ANAHEIM, CA | 1 | $25 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (2)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-06 | LEAGUE OF CONSERVATION VOTERS ACTION FUND | contributed_to | $50 | pas2 | |
| 2025-09-30 | NATIONAL UNION OF HEALTHCARE WORKERS FEDERAL COMMITTEE ON POLITICAL EDUCATION | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | JOE KERR FOR CALIFORNIA | β | candidate_committees |