PAYAD, MARICAR
OTHER Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H6CA40390- Internal id
49cad649-7487-4998-8538-fe0517caacc0- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-40. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 753,713 |
| People | Median age | 42 |
| Income | Median household income | $134,712 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $63,094 |
| Income | In poverty | 7.1% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.0% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.445 |
| Race | White alone | 51.1% |
| Race | Black alone | 1.8% |
| Race | Asian alone | 20.4% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 25.2% |
| Race | Two or more races | 16.4% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 25.2% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 64.3% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 15.1% |
| Education | High school or higher | 66.4% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 51.5% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 19.9% |
| Household | Family households | 73.9% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.79 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 28.9% |
| Housing | Median home value | $988,100 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $2,640 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 59.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 0.7% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 4.5% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 3.9% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 4.1% |
| Health | With a disability | 9.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 96.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 2.2% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 67.5% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.6% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 21.7% |
Elections
- 2026 general house Β· CA-40 β running
Committees
No committees on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 15.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.