BACA, JOE
D Β· house Β· bioguide B001234
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- FEC candidate id
H6CA42099- Internal id
cd4b2012-640f-46dd-8d22-fb072467eadf- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-31. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 736,368 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $91,699 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $35,167 |
| Income | In poverty | 11.6% |
| Income | Unemployed | 6.2% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.426 |
| Race | White alone | 21.5% |
| Race | Black alone | 2.6% |
| Race | Asian alone | 19.7% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 61.3% |
| Race | Two or more races | 23.8% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 35.2% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 38.4% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 43.9% |
| Education | High school or higher | 50.9% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 25.3% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 8.0% |
| Household | Family households | 78.0% |
| Household | Avg household size | 3.32 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 39.9% |
| Housing | Median home value | $699,500 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,980 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 63.7% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 7.1% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 12.0% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 3.6% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 3.0% |
| Health | With a disability | 12.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 92.2% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.2% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 71.1% |
| Commute | Public transit | 2.1% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 11.1% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2018 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2016 | $0 | $5,119 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2014 | $208,285 | $211,701 | $5,119 | $28,228 | $164,074 |
| 2012 | $1,046,528 | $1,162,457 | $8,536 | $31,509 | $404,566 |
| 2010 | $758,696 | $697,007 | $124,465 | $3,478 | $348,423 |
| 2008 | $941,701 | $885,969 | $62,776 | $57,432 | $349,528 |
| 2006 | $686,654 | $744,230 | $7,044 | $50,898 | $310,934 |
| 2004 | $492,479 | $450,292 | $64,621 | $1,973 | $172,949 |
| 2002 | $490,540 | $511,555 | $22,434 | $5,018 | $169,971 |
| 2000 | $1,281,671 | $1,254,411 | $43,448 | $153,503 | $450,226 |
| 1998 | $72,082 | $55,890 | $16,187 | $0 | $48,729 |
| 1996 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Elections
- 1998 general house Β· CA-42 β won
- 2000 general house Β· CA-42 β won
- 2002 general house Β· CA-43 β won
- 2004 general house Β· CA-43 β won
- 2006 general house Β· CA-43 β won
- 2008 general house Β· CA-43 β won
- 2010 general house Β· CA-43 β won
- 2012 general house Β· CA-35 β won
- 2014 general house Β· CA-31 β lost_general
Committees
- FAMILIES FIRST CALIFORNIA β independent Β· type U
- FRIENDS OF JOE BACA 2014 β principal Β· type H
Recent votes
No votes on file.
Sponsored & cosponsored bills
No sponsorships on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (14)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | educated_at | Barstow Community College | β | wikidata | |
| β | educated_at | California State University, Los Angeles | β | wikidata | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | FRIENDS OF JOE BACA 2014 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | independent_committee_of | FAMILIES FIRST CALIFORNIA | β | candidate_committees | |
| 2011-01-05 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 2009-01-06 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 2007-01-04 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 2005-01-04 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 2003-01-07 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 2001-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1999-11-16 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1999-11-06 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1998-01-01 | held_position | member of the State Senate of California | β | wikidata | |
| 1992-01-01 | held_position | member of the California State Assembly | β | wikidata |