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PEREZ, ERNESTO NOEL MR

D Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H6CA50282
Internal id
738ba795-355f-4cbf-9ca6-1e9fab2a0c96
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-50. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation754,032
PeopleMedian age38
IncomeMedian household income$120,202
IncomePer-capita income$69,791
IncomeIn poverty9.5%
IncomeUnemployed5.0%
IncomeGini inequality index0.476
RaceWhite alone58.0%
RaceBlack alone2.7%
RaceAsian alone14.4%
RaceHispanic or Latino22.3%
RaceTwo or more races16.0%
OriginForeign-born21.6%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home70.2%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home14.0%
EducationHigh school or higher71.5%
EducationBachelor's or higher60.3%
EducationAdvanced degree26.8%
HouseholdFamily households54.6%
HouseholdAvg household size2.32
HouseholdNever married (15+)39.2%
HousingMedian home value$1,080,400
HousingMedian gross rent$2,386
HousingSingle-family detached40.8%
HousingBuilt before 19403.1%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)3.8%
HousingVacant units8.4%
ServiceVeterans (18+)6.1%
HealthWith a disability9.7%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband95.6%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet2.8%
CommuteDrove alone59.4%
CommutePublic transit2.0%
CommuteWorked from home25.6%

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
D (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

Outbound (1)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”principal_candidate_ofNOEL PEREZ FOR CONGRESSβ€”candidate_committees

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