BRONIN, LUKE
D · house
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- FEC candidate id
H6CT01206- Internal id
8f1658b6-c9c1-4a9b-98b9-4a635a6a0e2e- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CT-01. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 721,392 |
| People | Median age | 40 |
| Income | Median household income | $87,708 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $48,678 |
| Income | In poverty | 10.9% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.4% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.461 |
| Race | White alone | 59.7% |
| Race | Black alone | 15.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 6.0% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 18.9% |
| Race | Two or more races | 11.4% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 16.7% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 74.8% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 13.2% |
| Education | High school or higher | 65.6% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 39.4% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 17.3% |
| Household | Family households | 61.7% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.37 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 37.7% |
| Housing | Median home value | $309,500 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,398 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 53.9% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 7.4% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.0% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 6.5% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 4.5% |
| Health | With a disability | 12.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 91.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.1% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 70.1% |
| Commute | Public transit | 3.0% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 15.4% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $2,303,190 | $579,804 | $1,723,386 | $0 | $2,292,907 |
Elections
- 2026 general house · CT-1 — running
Committees
- LUKE BRONIN FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Δ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-02 | VOTEVETS | 24K | $5,000 |
| 2026-01-30 | CROSSPARTISAN PAC I | 24K | $5,000 |
Top individual donors (2026 cycle)
Via this candidate's principal committee LUKE BRONIN FOR CONGRESS.
Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.
| Donor | Employer / occupation | City, ST | Gifts | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PONCY, MARK JR | K2 INTEGRITY · CONSULTANT | FAIRFAX, VA | 2 | $7,000 |
| AHMED, KAVITA | SELF EMPLOYED · REAL ESTATE INVESTOR | SIMSBURY, CT | 1 | $3,500 |
| JOHNSON, FRANK | SELF EMPLOYED · LAWYER | WASHINGTON, DC | 1 | $3,500 |
| BARTOK, JARED | AMPERSAND CAPITAL PARTNERS · FINANCIAL | SWAMPSCOTT, MA | 1 | $3,500 |
| JAKUBOWSKI, DAVID M | STATE-MARKET HARTFORD LLC · REAL ESTATE | POMFRET CENTER, CT | 1 | $3,500 |
| AMIR-MOKRI, CYRUS | JP MORGAN CHASE · ATTORNEY | NEW YORK, NY | 1 | $2,500 |
| BAILEY, JULIANE K. | NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED | NEW MILFORD, CT | 1 | $2,000 |
| FOWLER, CLAYTON H. | SREP · REAL ESTATE | POUND RIDGE, NY | 1 | $2,000 |
| FELDBERG, MARGERY | NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED | NEW YORK, NY | 1 | $2,000 |
| BARATS, GREG | HSB · CEO | AVON, CT | 1 | $2,000 |
| JOHNSON, ALFRED | CRUX · TECH | WASHINGTON, DC | 1 | $1,500 |
| LECOMPTE, THEODORE | THE LEADERSHIP NETWORK · NONPROFIT EXECUTIVE | ARLINGTON, VA | 1 | $1,250 |
| LECOMPTE, JENNI | FGS GLOBAL · PUBLIC AFFAIRS | ARLINGTON, VA | 1 | $1,250 |
| SPERLING, GENE | SELF EMPLOYED · ECONOMIC ADVISOR | SANTA MONICA, CA | 1 | $1,010 |
| SHAPIRO, MICHELE | NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED | ROXBURY, CT | 1 | $1,000 |
| SLOWIK, JOHN | NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED | NEW YORK, NY | 1 | $1,000 |
| MORRIS, VINCENT | NEWINGTON CONSERVATION COMMISSION · MEMBER | NEWINGTON, CT | 1 | $1,000 |
| GORDON, ANDREW | NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED | NEW YORK, NY | 1 | $1,000 |
| MASSAD, TIMOTHY | HARVARD KENNEDY SCHOOL · RESEARCH FELLOW | WASHINGTON, DC | 1 | $1,000 |
| NASH-WEBBER, ANDREW | HIGHWEST GLOBAL MANAGEMENT LLC · INVESTMENT MANAGER | BEND, OR | 1 | $1,000 |
| GIBSON, WILLIAM | WELLS FARGO · PUBLIC POLICY | WASHINGTON, DC | 1 | $1,000 |
| DANZIG, RICHARD | SELF EMPLOYED · ATTORNEY | WASHINGTON, DC | 1 | $1,000 |
| FINER, JON | TILDEN STRATEGIES · CONSULTANT | WASHINGTON, DC | 1 | $1,000 |
| PATTERSON, MARK | NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED | WASHINGTON, DC | 1 | $1,000 |
| TREVINO, MARC | SULLIVAN & CROMWELL · ATTORNEY | NEW YORK, NY | 1 | $1,000 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (2)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-02 | VOTEVETS | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-01-30 | CROSSPARTISAN PAC I | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | principal_candidate_of | LUKE BRONIN FOR CONGRESS | — | candidate_committees |