BARNES, BRICE
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H6FL02398- Internal id
70000411-dbb5-497d-ba9f-e785294ebfcc- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), FL-02. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 792,630 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $64,208 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $36,170 |
| Income | In poverty | 16.6% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.1% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.477 |
| Race | White alone | 64.8% |
| Race | Black alone | 22.4% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.0% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 7.7% |
| Race | Two or more races | 8.0% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 6.3% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 90.8% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 5.3% |
| Education | High school or higher | 60.6% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 31.6% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 12.6% |
| Household | Family households | 59.8% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.34 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 37.4% |
| Housing | Median home value | $253,800 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,265 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 54.6% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 2.6% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.5% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 20.3% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 8.6% |
| Health | With a disability | 16.2% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 89.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.5% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 74.9% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.8% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 11.4% |
Elections
- 2026 general house Β· FL-2 β running
Committees
- BRICE BARNES FOR FLORIDA β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | BRICE BARNES FOR FLORIDA | β | candidate_committees |