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GRAGE, RACHEL

D · house

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FEC candidate id
H6FL05250
Internal id
aeecfbea-17e6-43f7-bc51-cc082a66d845
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), FL-05. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation818,508
PeopleMedian age39
IncomeMedian household income$89,255
IncomePer-capita income$50,551
IncomeIn poverty9.5%
IncomeUnemployed3.1%
IncomeGini inequality index0.470
RaceWhite alone66.4%
RaceBlack alone11.8%
RaceAsian alone5.9%
RaceHispanic or Latino12.7%
RaceTwo or more races12.1%
OriginForeign-born13.9%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home82.4%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home8.2%
EducationHigh school or higher67.2%
EducationBachelor's or higher46.3%
EducationAdvanced degree16.4%
HouseholdFamily households64.4%
HouseholdAvg household size2.46
HouseholdNever married (15+)31.0%
HousingMedian home value$409,600
HousingMedian gross rent$1,654
HousingSingle-family detached58.2%
HousingBuilt before 19401.6%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)2.0%
HousingVacant units8.8%
ServiceVeterans (18+)9.9%
HealthWith a disability11.0%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband94.4%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet3.4%
CommuteDrove alone68.2%
CommutePublic transit0.3%
CommuteWorked from home21.0%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2026$160,947$65,892$95,055$0$159,295

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΔ P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
D (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Top individual donors (2026 cycle)

Via this candidate's principal committee RACHEL GRAGE FOR CONGRESS.

Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.

DonorEmployer / occupationCity, STGiftsTotal
KOPRIVA, MARGARET MNOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYEDJACKSONVILLE BEACH, FL1$3,500
KARY, SUSANSELF · ARCHITECTPONTE VEDRA, FL1$3,400
KARY, JANJAN KARY & ASSOCIATES · FUNDRAISING CONSULTANTPONTE VEDRA, FL1$2,963
LOMBARDO, CAROLNOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYEDJACKSONVILLE BEACH, FL1$1,500
HAUGEN, BARBARANOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYEDPONTE VEDRA BEACH, FL1$1,500
GRAGE, RACHEL GNOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYEDJACKSONVILLE BEACH, FL2$1,005
BROTT, KARENNOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYEDJACKSONVILLE BEACH, FL1$1,000
BAILEY, LAURANOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYEDJACKSONVILLE, FL1$1,000
LONG, LISA AGARRISON RIDGE LLC · WRITERJACKSONVILLE, FL1$1,000
COLLINS, JANETMOTIF FOODWORKS · SENIOR REGULATORY LEADERARLINGTON, VA1$1,000
COSBY, CATHERINENOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYEDPONTE VEDRA BEACH, FL1$1,000
DUBOIS, LINDANOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYEDPONTE VEDRA, FL1$1,000
CLARK, ANN BNOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYEDPONTE VEDRA BEACH, FL1$1,000
BASS, CAITLINUF · MDST AUGUSTINE, FL1$1,000
FRANCIS, JEANNOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYEDJACKSONVILLE BEACH, FL1$1,000
JOHNSON, JENNIFERINTERMODAL SUPPORT · SALESPONTE VEDRA BEACH, FL1$1,000
FOLKES, CATHERINEDATA BEST PRACTICES · SOFTWARE CONSULTANTST AUGUSTINE, FL1$1,000
GABRYNOWICZ, MARK PNOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYEDATLANTIC BEACH, FL1$1,000
BURGESS, JOY ENOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYEDJACKSONVILLE, FL1$1,000
HAERTER, STEVEN WNOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYEDJACKSONVILLE BEACH, FL1$1,000
HALPERIN, ALANNOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYEDATLANTIC BEACH, FL1$1,000
JENNINGS, MICHELLENOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYEDST AUGUSTINE, FL1$1,000
KENNISON, LYNETTE DNOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYEDJACKSONVILLE, FL1$1,000
HOENIG, RUTHNOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYEDPONTE VEDRA BEACH, FL1$1,000
MAI, LORRAINE SNOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYEDPONTE VEDRA BEACH, FL1$1,000

Connected on the graph

Outbound (1)

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principal_candidate_ofRACHEL GRAGE FOR CONGRESScandidate_committees

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