WEIL, JOSHUA JOSEPH
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H6FL06266- Internal id
f3836cf6-f873-49e6-95b6-3a562a3610f2- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), FL-06. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 816,594 |
| People | Median age | 48 |
| Income | Median household income | $64,612 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $37,287 |
| Income | In poverty | 13.7% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.8% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.465 |
| Race | White alone | 72.6% |
| Race | Black alone | 11.2% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.6% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 13.2% |
| Race | Two or more races | 10.3% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 8.5% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 87.0% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 8.9% |
| Education | High school or higher | 57.8% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 25.5% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 9.0% |
| Household | Family households | 63.8% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.33 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 27.4% |
| Housing | Median home value | $283,500 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,337 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 63.1% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 1.4% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.2% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 14.6% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 10.2% |
| Health | With a disability | 17.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 90.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.7% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 72.1% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.4% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 14.0% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $15,933,478 | $15,933,478 | $0 | $0 | $15,463,011 |
Elections
- 2025 general house Β· FL-6 β lost_general
Committees
- JOSH WEIL FOR SENATE β principal Β· type S
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $93,730 | $1,177,142 | 28 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | MARCH ON PAC | support | $25,000 | Digital Advertising |
| β | HOUSE FREEDOM ACTION | oppose | $1,500 | IE-WEIL-DIGITAL ADVERTISING |
| 2025-03-31 | HUMAN RIGHTS CAMPAIGN EQUALITY VOTES PAC | support | $25 | Advertising |
| 2025-03-28 | CONSERVATIVE FIGHTER PAC | oppose | $31,518 | PLACED MEDIA: TV |
| 2025-03-28 | HUMAN RIGHTS CAMPAIGN PAC | support | $394 | Advertising |
| 2025-03-28 | HUMAN RIGHTS CAMPAIGN PAC | support | $881 | Advertising |
| 2025-03-26 | CONGRESS MAJORITY PAC | support | $32,918 | Digital Advertising |
| 2025-03-25 | CONSERVATIVE FIGHTER PAC | oppose | $107,518 | PLACED MEDIA: TV |
| 2025-03-25 | CONSERVATIVE FIGHTER PAC | oppose | $219,974 | PLACED MEDIA: TV |
| 2025-03-25 | CONSERVATIVE FIGHTER PAC | oppose | $6,250 | PRODUCTION COST: TV AD |
| 2025-03-22 | EVERY STATE | support | $2,400 | INDEPENDENT CAMPAIGN TEXTS |
| 2025-03-22 | EVERY STATE | support | $2,325 | DIGITAL ADVERTISING |
| 2025-03-21 | CONSERVATIVE FIGHTER PAC | oppose | $6,000 | PRODUCTION COST: TV AD |
| 2025-03-21 | CONSERVATIVE FIGHTER PAC | oppose | $18,748 | DIRECT MAIL: PRINTING AND POSTAGE |
| 2025-03-21 | CONSERVATIVE FIGHTER PAC | oppose | $10,235 | TEXT MESSAGES |
| 2025-03-21 | CONSERVATIVE FIGHTER PAC | oppose | $255,146 | PLACED MEDIA: TV |
| 2025-03-21 | CONSERVATIVE FIGHTER PAC | oppose | $200,374 | PLACED MEDIA: TV |
| 2025-03-21 | CONGRESS MAJORITY PAC | support | $28,750 | Digital Advertising |
| 2025-03-20 | PEOPLE FOR INTEGRITY IN GOVERNMENT | oppose | $8,648 | Text Messaging |
| 2025-03-19 | CONGRESS MAJORITY PAC | support | $1,037 | Digital Advertising |
| 2025-03-19 | CONSERVATIVE FIGHTER PAC | oppose | $1,708 | TEXT MESSAGES |
| 2025-03-18 | PEOPLE FOR INTEGRITY IN GOVERNMENT | oppose | $8,648 | Text Messaging |
| 2025-03-14 | PEOPLE FOR INTEGRITY IN GOVERNMENT | oppose | $8,648 | Text Messaging |
| 2025-03-13 | PEOPLE FOR INTEGRITY IN GOVERNMENT | oppose | $8,648 | Text Messaging |
| 2025-03-12 | PEOPLE FOR INTEGRITY IN GOVERNMENT | oppose | $70,895 | Mailers |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
Connected on the graph
Inbound (80)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | MARCH ON PAC | contributed_to | $25,000 | pas2 | |
| β | PEOPLE FOR INTEGRITY IN GOVERNMENT | contributed_to | $9,000 | pas2 | |
| β | MARCH ON PAC | supports_independently | $25,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | HOUSE FREEDOM ACTION FUND | opposes_independently | $1,500 | fec_ies | |
| 2025-05-23 | BLUE AMERICA PAC INDEPENDENT EXPENDITURE COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $2,199 | pas2 | |
| 2025-04-22 | DEMOCRATS WORK FOR AMERICA, INC | contributed_to | $169 | pas2 | |
| 2025-04-06 | DEMOCRACY ENGINE, INC., PAC | contributed_to | $15 | pas2 | |
| 2025-04-03 | BLUE AMERICA PAC INDEPENDENT EXPENDITURE COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $800 | pas2 | |
| 2025-04-02 | DEFEAT EXTREMISTS | contributed_to | $351 | pas2 | |
| 2025-04-01 | PEOPLE FOR INTEGRITY IN GOVERNMENT | contributed_to | $9,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-04-01 | MARCH ON PAC | contributed_to | $3,500 | pas2 | |
| 2025-03-31 | FRIENDS OF BERNIE SANDERS | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-03-31 | DEFEAT EXTREMISTS | contributed_to | $508 | pas2 | |
| 2025-03-31 | HUMAN RIGHTS CAMPAIGN EQUALITY VOTES PAC | supports_independently | $25 | fec_ies | |
| 2025-03-31 | HUMAN RIGHTS CAMPAIGN EQUALITY VOTES PAC | contributed_to | $25 | pas2 | |
| 2025-03-31 | PROGRESSIVE VOTERS OF AMERICA | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-03-31 | HOUSE FREEDOM ACTION FUND | contributed_to | $1,500 | pas2 | |
| 2025-03-29 | SOCIAL SECURITY WORKS PAC | contributed_to | $150 | pas2 | |
| 2025-03-28 | CONSERVATIVE FIGHTER PAC | opposes_independently | $31,518 | fec_ies | |
| 2025-03-28 | DEFEAT EXTREMISTS | contributed_to | $1,330 | pas2 | |
| 2025-03-28 | HUMAN RIGHTS CAMPAIGN PAC | contributed_to | $500 | pas2 | |
| 2025-03-28 | HUMAN RIGHTS CAMPAIGN PAC | contributed_to | $393 | pas2 | |
| 2025-03-28 | HUMAN RIGHTS CAMPAIGN PAC | contributed_to | $881 | pas2 | |
| 2025-03-28 | DEMOCRATS WORK FOR AMERICA, INC | contributed_to | $269 | pas2 | |
| 2025-03-28 | CONSERVATIVE FIGHTER PAC | contributed_to | $31,517 | pas2 | |
| 2025-03-28 | HUMAN RIGHTS CAMPAIGN PAC | supports_independently | $394 | fec_ies | |
| 2025-03-28 | HUMAN RIGHTS CAMPAIGN PAC | supports_independently | $881 | fec_ies | |
| 2025-03-26 | CONGRESS MAJORITY PAC | contributed_to | $32,918 | pas2 | |
| 2025-03-26 | CONGRESS MAJORITY PAC | supports_independently | $32,918 | fec_ies | |
| 2025-03-25 | CONSERVATIVE FIGHTER PAC | opposes_independently | $219,974 | fec_ies | |
| 2025-03-25 | CONSERVATIVE FIGHTER PAC | contributed_to | $107,517 | pas2 | |
| 2025-03-25 | CONSERVATIVE FIGHTER PAC | opposes_independently | $107,518 | fec_ies | |
| 2025-03-25 | CONSERVATIVE FIGHTER PAC | contributed_to | $219,973 | pas2 | |
| 2025-03-25 | CONSERVATIVE FIGHTER PAC | contributed_to | $6,250 | pas2 | |
| 2025-03-25 | CONSERVATIVE FIGHTER PAC | opposes_independently | $6,250 | fec_ies | |
| 2025-03-22 | EVERY STATE | supports_independently | $2,400 | fec_ies | |
| 2025-03-22 | EVERY STATE | contributed_to | $2,400 | pas2 | |
| 2025-03-22 | EVERY STATE | supports_independently | $2,325 | fec_ies | |
| 2025-03-22 | EVERY STATE | contributed_to | $2,325 | pas2 | |
| 2025-03-21 | CONSERVATIVE FIGHTER PAC | contributed_to | $10,234 | pas2 | |
| 2025-03-21 | CONSERVATIVE FIGHTER PAC | contributed_to | $6,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-03-21 | CONSERVATIVE FIGHTER PAC | opposes_independently | $255,146 | fec_ies | |
| 2025-03-21 | CONSERVATIVE FIGHTER PAC | contributed_to | $200,373 | pas2 | |
| 2025-03-21 | CONSERVATIVE FIGHTER PAC | opposes_independently | $6,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2025-03-21 | CONGRESS MAJORITY PAC | contributed_to | $28,750 | pas2 | |
| 2025-03-21 | CONSERVATIVE FIGHTER PAC | opposes_independently | $18,748 | fec_ies | |
| 2025-03-21 | CONSERVATIVE FIGHTER PAC | opposes_independently | $10,235 | fec_ies | |
| 2025-03-21 | CONSERVATIVE FIGHTER PAC | contributed_to | $255,146 | pas2 | |
| 2025-03-21 | CONSERVATIVE FIGHTER PAC | opposes_independently | $200,374 | fec_ies | |
| 2025-03-21 | CONGRESS MAJORITY PAC | supports_independently | $28,750 | fec_ies | |
| 2025-03-21 | CONSERVATIVE FIGHTER PAC | contributed_to | $18,748 | pas2 | |
| 2025-03-20 | PEOPLE FOR INTEGRITY IN GOVERNMENT | opposes_independently | $8,648 | fec_ies | |
| 2025-03-20 | PEOPLE FOR INTEGRITY IN GOVERNMENT | contributed_to | $8,648 | pas2 | |
| 2025-03-19 | CONSERVATIVE FIGHTER PAC | opposes_independently | $1,708 | fec_ies | |
| 2025-03-19 | CONGRESS MAJORITY PAC | contributed_to | $1,037 | pas2 | |
| 2025-03-19 | CONSERVATIVE FIGHTER PAC | contributed_to | $1,708 | pas2 | |
| 2025-03-19 | DEFEAT EXTREMISTS | contributed_to | $163 | pas2 | |
| 2025-03-19 | CONGRESS MAJORITY PAC | supports_independently | $1,037 | fec_ies | |
| 2025-03-18 | PEOPLE FOR INTEGRITY IN GOVERNMENT | opposes_independently | $8,648 | fec_ies | |
| 2025-03-18 | PEOPLE FOR INTEGRITY IN GOVERNMENT | contributed_to | $8,648 | pas2 | |
| 2025-03-14 | PEOPLE FOR INTEGRITY IN GOVERNMENT | contributed_to | $8,648 | pas2 | |
| 2025-03-14 | PEOPLE FOR INTEGRITY IN GOVERNMENT | opposes_independently | $8,648 | fec_ies | |
| 2025-03-13 | PEOPLE FOR INTEGRITY IN GOVERNMENT | contributed_to | $8,648 | pas2 | |
| 2025-03-13 | OUTRAGE THEN ACTION | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-03-13 | PEOPLE FOR INTEGRITY IN GOVERNMENT | opposes_independently | $8,648 | fec_ies | |
| 2025-03-12 | PEOPLE FOR INTEGRITY IN GOVERNMENT | contributed_to | $70,895 | pas2 | |
| 2025-03-12 | PEOPLE FOR INTEGRITY IN GOVERNMENT | opposes_independently | $70,895 | fec_ies | |
| 2025-03-12 | PEOPLE FOR INTEGRITY IN GOVERNMENT | opposes_independently | $70,895 | fec_ies | |
| 2025-03-12 | PEOPLE FOR INTEGRITY IN GOVERNMENT | opposes_independently | $70,895 | fec_ies | |
| 2025-03-12 | PEOPLE FOR INTEGRITY IN GOVERNMENT | contributed_to | $70,895 | pas2 | |
| 2025-03-12 | PEOPLE FOR INTEGRITY IN GOVERNMENT | opposes_independently | $70,895 | fec_ies | |
| 2025-03-10 | COMMON POWER | contributed_to | $1,846 | pas2 | |
| 2025-03-06 | DC STATEHOOD PAC | contributed_to | $500 | pas2 | |
| 2025-03-04 | DEFEAT EXTREMISTS | contributed_to | $1,292 | pas2 | |
| 2025-02-28 | ACTIVATE AMERICA | contributed_to | $255 | pas2 | |
| 2025-02-28 | ACTIVATE AMERICA | contributed_to | $24 | pas2 | |
| 2025-02-20 | DEMOCRATIC EXECUTIVE COMMITTEE OF FLORIDA | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-02-11 | THE CENTER FOR FREETHOUGHT EQUALITY PAC | contributed_to | $250 | pas2 | |
| 2025-02-08 | DEFEAT EXTREMISTS | contributed_to | $1,353 | pas2 | |
| 2025-01-12 | DEFEAT EXTREMISTS | contributed_to | $313 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | JOSH WEIL FOR SENATE | β | candidate_committees |