CRABTREE, VALLERI
D Β· house
Sign in to add to a watchlist β
- FEC candidate id
H6FL09146- Internal id
30a3d73d-dfd8-45f6-8d19-46f61c2b85b7- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), FL-09. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 821,565 |
| People | Median age | 38 |
| Income | Median household income | $75,396 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $35,203 |
| Income | In poverty | 12.0% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.2% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.434 |
| Race | White alone | 37.9% |
| Race | Black alone | 10.8% |
| Race | Asian alone | 3.9% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 53.6% |
| Race | Two or more races | 27.4% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 26.8% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 46.7% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 45.1% |
| Education | High school or higher | 60.2% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 33.9% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 11.0% |
| Household | Family households | 72.6% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.88 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 34.3% |
| Housing | Median home value | $360,200 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,831 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 57.8% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 0.5% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 4.6% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 14.8% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.0% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 93.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 3.7% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 70.3% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.0% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 14.7% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $66,110 | $66,141 | $199 | $44,918 | $23,214 |
| 2014 | $6,605 | $6,374 | $231 | $2,443 | $479 |
Elections
- 2016 general house Β· FL-9 β lost_general
Committees
- CRABTREE FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | CRABTREE FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |