FORD, EARLE
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H6FL13239- Internal id
7e13926a-9b4f-4399-ab0e-2ab035072aa9- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), FL-13. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 769,211 |
| People | Median age | 51 |
| Income | Median household income | $72,731 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $47,331 |
| Income | In poverty | 11.0% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.3% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.482 |
| Race | White alone | 76.3% |
| Race | Black alone | 7.0% |
| Race | Asian alone | 3.6% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 11.6% |
| Race | Two or more races | 9.8% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 12.7% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 83.7% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 7.7% |
| Education | High school or higher | 61.8% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 35.1% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 12.8% |
| Household | Family households | 56.7% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.22 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 28.3% |
| Housing | Median home value | $351,800 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,641 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 48.1% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 2.1% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.0% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 18.2% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 8.6% |
| Health | With a disability | 16.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 90.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.3% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 68.3% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.3% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 19.6% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $593,046 | $548,690 | $44,356 | $10,000 | $577,936 |
Elections
- 2026 general house Β· FL-13 β running
Committees
- EARLE FORD FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-24 | AMERICAN COLLEGE OF OB-GYNS PAC (OB-GYN PAC) | 24K | $5,000 |
Top individual donors (2026 cycle)
Via this candidate's principal committee EARLE FORD FOR CONGRESS.
Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.
| Donor | Employer / occupation | City, ST | Gifts | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SOTO AVELLA, SILVIA | MICROSOFT CORPORATION Β· CHANGE MANAGER | WESLEY CHAPEL, FL | 1 | $1,000 |
| CHRISTENSON, ELISABETH | CENTURY 21 CIRCLE Β· REALTOR | WESLEY CHAPEL, FL | 1 | $500 |
| O'BRIEN, SHEA | WCF Β· PHYSICIAN | ST JOHNS, FL | 1 | $250 |
| RONCALLI, ANTHONY | TXP SERVICES Β· EXECUTIVE | TREASURE ISLAND, FL | 1 | $250 |
| SAYLES-COLE, MIMI | NOT EMPLOYED Β· NOT EMPLOYED | ST. PETERSBURG, FL | 1 | $250 |
| PINKNEY, JIMMY | NOT EMPLOYED Β· NOT EMPLOYED | ORLANDO, FL | 1 | $250 |
| DE SOUZA, LUIZ | VHA Β· PHYSICIAN | CLEARWATER, FL | 1 | $250 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (1)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-24 | AMERICAN COLLEGE OF OB-GYNS PAC (OB-GYN PAC) | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | EARLE FORD FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |