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LUCAS, JUSTIN

D Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H6GA08146
Internal id
6e2c9d45-7b9e-46ed-b5ee-bc49d6de7258
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), GA-08. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation774,685
PeopleMedian age38
IncomeMedian household income$61,494
IncomePer-capita income$32,008
IncomeIn poverty17.9%
IncomeUnemployed4.5%
IncomeGini inequality index0.476
RaceWhite alone58.8%
RaceBlack alone30.1%
RaceAsian alone1.6%
RaceHispanic or Latino8.0%
RaceTwo or more races6.2%
OriginForeign-born4.8%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home92.2%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home5.8%
EducationHigh school or higher57.2%
EducationBachelor's or higher23.4%
EducationAdvanced degree10.2%
HouseholdFamily households66.6%
HouseholdAvg household size2.58
HouseholdNever married (15+)33.7%
HousingMedian home value$175,900
HousingMedian gross rent$964
HousingSingle-family detached64.7%
HousingBuilt before 19402.8%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)2.4%
HousingVacant units13.1%
ServiceVeterans (18+)8.6%
HealthWith a disability15.0%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband85.1%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet11.8%
CommuteDrove alone80.1%
CommutePublic transit0.4%
CommuteWorked from home7.7%

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
D (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

Outbound (1)

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β€”principal_candidate_ofTHE COMMITTEE TO ELECT JUSTIN M LUCAS FOR CONGRESSβ€”candidate_committees

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