KELLY, WILLIAM FLYNN III
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H6GA14284- Internal id
4aa3ccd3-71d6-47ee-ba6b-0e2b6d8ae0b5- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), GA-11. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 784,112 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $97,878 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $47,840 |
| Income | In poverty | 8.9% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.1% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.446 |
| Race | White alone | 68.7% |
| Race | Black alone | 11.9% |
| Race | Asian alone | 4.1% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 12.4% |
| Race | Two or more races | 9.6% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 12.2% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 83.6% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 9.1% |
| Education | High school or higher | 65.0% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 42.2% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 14.9% |
| Household | Family households | 71.5% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.67 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 29.7% |
| Housing | Median home value | $392,200 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,632 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 73.1% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 1.2% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.8% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 6.4% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.4% |
| Health | With a disability | 10.9% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 94.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 4.1% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 68.6% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.3% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 20.1% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $35,801 | $35,801 | $0 | $0 | $25,801 |
Elections
- 2026 general house Β· GA-11 β running
Committees
- FRIENDS OF TREY KELLY β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-12 | INDEPENDENT INSURANCE AGENTS & BROKERS OF AMERI⦠| 24K | $2,500 |
| 2026-02-11 | THE COUNCIL OF INSURANCE AGENTS & BROKERS POLIT⦠| 24K | $5,000 |
| 2026-02-03 | NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF INSURANCE AND FINANCIAL⦠| 24K | $5,000 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (3)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-12 | INDEPENDENT INSURANCE AGENTS & BROKERS OF AMERICA, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (INSURPAC) | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-11 | THE COUNCIL OF INSURANCE AGENTS & BROKERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-03 | NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF INSURANCE AND FINANCIAL ADVISORS POLITICAL ACTION COMM | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | FRIENDS OF TREY KELLY | β | candidate_committees |