ABERCROMBIE, NEIL
D Β· house Β· bioguide A000014
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- FEC candidate id
H6HI01121- Internal id
003a6ecf-2bc4-42b1-ab2e-58f11d770fc8- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), HI-01. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 719,645 |
| People | Median age | 41 |
| Income | Median household income | $104,305 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $48,935 |
| Income | In poverty | 9.0% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.1% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.446 |
| Race | White alone | 15.8% |
| Race | Black alone | 2.0% |
| Race | Asian alone | 49.6% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 8.2% |
| Race | Two or more races | 23.1% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 22.9% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 70.8% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 1.7% |
| Education | High school or higher | 63.4% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 39.9% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 14.6% |
| Household | Family households | 65.9% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.75 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 34.9% |
| Housing | Median home value | $882,200 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,982 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 40.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.4% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 9.1% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 9.4% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 8.3% |
| Health | With a disability | 12.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 91.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 5.3% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 62.1% |
| Commute | Public transit | 5.6% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 9.2% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | $0 | $42,900 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2010 | $34,030 | $1,063,625 | $42,900 | $0 | $9 |
| 2008 | $1,444,075 | $1,005,224 | $1,072,496 | $0 | $689,438 |
| 2006 | $1,074,351 | $823,235 | $633,644 | $210 | $506,522 |
| 2004 | $1,089,533 | $1,055,649 | $382,526 | $698 | $544,943 |
| 2002 | $901,314 | $673,060 | $348,643 | $0 | $415,685 |
| 2000 | $805,055 | $722,133 | $120,388 | $12,782 | $280,754 |
| 1998 | $1,098,398 | $1,083,666 | $37,468 | $1,541 | $362,825 |
| 1996 | $682,898 | $674,404 | $22,736 | $17,103 | $237,925 |
| 1994 | $371,788 | $391,451 | $14,242 | $221 | $125,335 |
| 1992 | $358,720 | $357,323 | $33,907 | $0 | $119,194 |
| 1990 | $536,380 | $620,084 | $12,244 | $0 | $264,720 |
| 1988 | $30,122 | $31,463 | $0 | $0 | $24,514 |
| 1986 | $221,869 | $221,308 | $1,340 | $9,500 | $0 |
Elections
- 1986 general house Β· HI-1 β won
- 1988 general house Β· HI-1 β won
- 1990 general house Β· HI-1 β won
- 1992 general house Β· HI-1 β won
- 1994 general house Β· HI-1 β won
- 1996 general house Β· HI-1 β won
- 1998 general house Β· HI-1 β won
- 2000 general house Β· HI-1 β won
- 2002 general house Β· HI-1 β won
- 2004 general house Β· HI-1 β won
- 2006 general house Β· HI-1 β lost_general
- 2008 general house Β· HI-1 β won
- 2010 general house Β· HI-1 β lost_general
Committees
- ABERCROMBIE FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Recent votes
No votes on file.
Sponsored & cosponsored bills
No sponsorships on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | ABERCROMBIE FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |