(LUCKY) COLLINS, CHARLES
D Β· house
Sign in to add to a watchlist β
- FEC candidate id
H6HI02160- Internal id
975846f8-9c1d-41e5-b4ca-f2068e7f16b0- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), HI-02. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 725,590 |
| People | Median age | 41 |
| Income | Median household income | $95,891 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $43,099 |
| Income | In poverty | 11.1% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.2% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.455 |
| Race | White alone | 28.3% |
| Race | Black alone | 1.8% |
| Race | Asian alone | 24.3% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 11.6% |
| Race | Two or more races | 31.0% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 12.9% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 79.9% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 2.4% |
| Education | High school or higher | 61.9% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 32.3% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 12.0% |
| Household | Family households | 70.3% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.96 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 33.4% |
| Housing | Median home value | $796,100 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,955 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 66.5% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 2.8% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 8.6% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 17.1% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.7% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 92.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 5.3% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 68.5% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.9% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 10.1% |
Elections
- 1996 general house Β· HI-2 β lost_general
- 2000 general house Β· HI-2 β lost_general
- 2002 general house Β· HI-2 β lost_general
Committees
No committees on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.