SCHATZ, BRIAN EMANUEL
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H6HI02244- Internal id
b945d226-d2fc-4cdf-9d26-eb4686c6b5e1- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), HI-02. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 725,590 |
| People | Median age | 41 |
| Income | Median household income | $95,891 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $43,099 |
| Income | In poverty | 11.1% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.2% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.455 |
| Race | White alone | 28.3% |
| Race | Black alone | 1.8% |
| Race | Asian alone | 24.3% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 11.6% |
| Race | Two or more races | 31.0% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 12.9% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 79.9% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 2.4% |
| Education | High school or higher | 61.9% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 32.3% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 12.0% |
| Household | Family households | 70.3% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.96 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 33.4% |
| Housing | Median home value | $796,100 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,955 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 66.5% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 2.8% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 8.6% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 17.1% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.7% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 92.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 5.3% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 68.5% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.9% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 10.1% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | $0 | $1,537 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2006 | $312,496 | $310,966 | $-890 | $46,498 | $261,010 |
Elections
- 2006 general house Β· HI-2 β lost_general
Committees
- SCHATZ, BRIAN EMANUEL β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-03-17 | AIR LINE PILOTS ASSOCIATION PAC | 24K | $5,000 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (2)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-03-17 | AIR LINE PILOTS ASSOCIATION PAC | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $5,000 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2022-03-17 | AIR LINE PILOTS ASSOCIATION PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | SCHATZ, BRIAN EMANUEL | β | candidate_committees |