BRALEY, BRUCE L
D Β· house Β· bioguide B001259
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- FEC candidate id
H6IA01098- Internal id
d58c83ab-15aa-4ac9-b0f1-3846dc3bb1bc- Status
- incumbent
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), IA-01. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 800,735 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $73,680 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $40,667 |
| Income | In poverty | 12.1% |
| Income | Unemployed | 3.6% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.452 |
| Race | White alone | 84.9% |
| Race | Black alone | 4.2% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.3% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 6.0% |
| Race | Two or more races | 6.4% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 4.7% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 92.5% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 3.2% |
| Education | High school or higher | 62.5% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 32.8% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 11.9% |
| Household | Family households | 61.2% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.36 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 32.4% |
| Housing | Median home value | $211,100 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $966 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 70.4% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.1% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.3% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 7.8% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.6% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 89.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.6% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 76.0% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.1% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 10.6% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | $216,178 | $267,641 | $0 | $0 | $65,455 |
| 2012 | $2,687,008 | $2,664,440 | $51,463 | $659 | $1,739,366 |
| 2010 | $2,098,471 | $2,357,364 | $28,896 | $3,865 | $1,272,025 |
| 2008 | $1,150,973 | $979,340 | $287,788 | $6,000 | $592,241 |
| 2006 | $2,485,062 | $2,368,906 | $116,156 | $16,979 | $1,745,709 |
Elections
- 2006 general house Β· IA-1 β won
- 2008 general house Β· IA-1 β won
- 2010 general house Β· IA-1 β won
- 2012 general house Β· IA-1 β lost_general
- 2014 general house Β· IA-1 β lost_general
Committees
- BRALEY BROWN VICTORY FUND β joint_fundraising Β· type H
- BRALEY FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
- JARED POLIS VICTORY FUND 2012 β joint_fundraising Β· type N
Recent votes
No votes on file.
Sponsored & cosponsored bills
No sponsorships on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 99.0%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| incumbent | +78.0% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (3)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | JARED POLIS VICTORY FUND 2012 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | BRALEY BROWN VICTORY FUND | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | BRALEY FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |