CARRIGAN, MICHAEL XAVIER MR.
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H6IA03284- Internal id
211c890b-b038-4311-93df-97cb82a48b07- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), IA-03. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 816,359 |
| People | Median age | 37 |
| Income | Median household income | $80,844 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $44,374 |
| Income | In poverty | 10.3% |
| Income | Unemployed | 3.9% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.445 |
| Race | White alone | 80.6% |
| Race | Black alone | 5.3% |
| Race | Asian alone | 3.9% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 8.7% |
| Race | Two or more races | 6.8% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 8.4% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 87.4% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 5.7% |
| Education | High school or higher | 63.2% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 36.7% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 11.9% |
| Household | Family households | 61.9% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.41 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 31.4% |
| Housing | Median home value | $241,100 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,108 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 67.6% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.3% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.2% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 7.6% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 5.9% |
| Health | With a disability | 11.9% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 90.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.3% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 73.3% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.4% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 14.7% |
Elections
- 2026 general house Β· IA-3 β running
Committees
- XAVIER CARRIGAN FOR IOWA β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-18 | THE CENTER FOR FREETHOUGHT EQUALITY PAC | 24K | $250 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (1)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-18 | THE CENTER FOR FREETHOUGHT EQUALITY PAC | contributed_to | $250 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | XAVIER CARRIGAN FOR IOWA | β | candidate_committees |