NIELSEN, ROY
I Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H6IA05123- Internal id
677cceb2-3bb4-4f89-bf67-3be93404e4fb- Status
- challenger
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | $0 | $0 | $9 | $137,000 | $0 |
| 2010 | $0 | $0 | $9 | $137,000 | $0 |
| 2008 | $1,500 | $2,527 | $9 | $137,000 | $0 |
| 2006 | $150,841 | $149,780 | $1,036 | $135,500 | $12,841 |
Elections
Committees
- ROY NIELSEN FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 15.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | ROY NIELSEN FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees |