TULLY, DAN

D · house

FEC candidate id: H6IL08287
Internal id: 0d6ea2e6-e894-453d-889e-a343850d0c87
Status: open seat

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), IL-08. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	746,772
People	Median age	40
Income	Median household income	$99,637
Income	Per-capita income	$46,456
Income	In poverty	7.4%
Income	Unemployed	4.5%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.417
Race	White alone	55.7%
Race	Black alone	4.8%
Race	Asian alone	13.9%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	25.1%
Race	Two or more races	14.2%
Origin	Foreign-born	28.0%
Language	Speaks English only at home	58.1%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	19.5%
Education	High school or higher	63.6%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	40.0%
Education	Advanced degree	13.8%
Household	Family households	69.7%
Household	Avg household size	2.65
Household	Never married (15+)	31.4%
Housing	Median home value	$326,100
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,597
Housing	Single-family detached	53.8%
Housing	Built before 1940	2.1%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	3.9%
Housing	Vacant units	3.7%
Service	Veterans (18+)	3.5%
Health	With a disability	9.3%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	94.4%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	4.0%
Commute	Drove alone	71.0%
Commute	Public transit	2.2%
Commute	Worked from home	15.7%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$725,736	$525,254	$200,482	$490,500	$226,241

Elections

2026 general house · IL-8 — running

Committees

DAN TULLY FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 20.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
D (major party)	+10.0%
open seat	-5.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2026	$144,815	$0	6

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
2026-01-23	SERVANT-LEADER FUND, INC.	support	$26,095	DIRECT MAIL
2026-01-14	SERVANT-LEADER FUND, INC.	support	$21,810	DIRECT MAIL
2026-01-14	SERVANT-LEADER FUND, INC.	support	$21,810	DIRECT MAIL
2026-01-14	SERVANT-LEADER FUND, INC.	support	$21,810	DIRECT MAIL
2026-01-08	SERVANT-LEADER FUND, INC.	support	$26,645	DIRECT MAIL
2026-01-08	SERVANT-LEADER FUND, INC.	support	$26,645	DIRECT MAIL

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2026-02-12	POPULAR HOPE & RENEWAL PAC	24K	$1,000
2026-01-23	SERVANT-LEADER FUND, INC.	24E	$26,094
2026-01-14	SERVANT-LEADER FUND, INC.	24E	$21,810
2026-01-14	SERVANT-LEADER FUND, INC.	24E	$21,810
2026-01-08	SERVANT-LEADER FUND, INC.	24E	$26,644
2025-10-10	CROSSPARTISAN PAC I	24K	$2,500
2025-07-17	ILLINOIS POLITICAL ACTIVE LETTER CARRIERS	24K	$250
2025-06-12	POPULAR HOPE & RENEWAL PAC	24K	$2,000

Top individual donors (2026 cycle)

Via this candidate's principal committee DAN TULLY FOR CONGRESS.

Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.

Donor	Employer / occupation	City, ST	Gifts	Total
WRIGHT, SAMUEL	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	MARLIN, TX	1	$1,000
ROSS, HOWARD	US ARMY · ATTORNEY	ARLINGTON, VA	1	$500
AREGOOD, JEREMY	OFFICE OF POLICE ACCOUNTABILITY · ATTORNEY	CHICAGO, IL	1	$250
HOLSTEN, JACKIE	HOLSTEN MANAGEMENT · ATTORNEY	CHICAGO, IL	1	$250
MIDDLETON, BENJAMIN	THOMPSON COBURN LLP · ATTORNEY	UNIVERSITY CITY, MO	1	$200
WALTON, GIL	NORTON LAW FIRM · ATTORNEY	BERKELEY, CA	1	$25

Connected on the graph

Inbound (14)

date	from	type	amount	source
2026-02-12	POPULAR HOPE & RENEWAL PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2026-01-23	SERVANT-LEADER FUND, INC.	contributed_to	$26,094	pas2
2026-01-23	SERVANT-LEADER FUND, INC.	supports_independently	$26,095	fec_ies
2026-01-14	SERVANT-LEADER FUND, INC.	supports_independently	$21,810	fec_ies
2026-01-14	SERVANT-LEADER FUND, INC.	supports_independently	$21,810	fec_ies
2026-01-14	SERVANT-LEADER FUND, INC.	supports_independently	$21,810	fec_ies
2026-01-14	SERVANT-LEADER FUND, INC.	contributed_to	$21,810	pas2
2026-01-14	SERVANT-LEADER FUND, INC.	contributed_to	$21,810	pas2
2026-01-08	SERVANT-LEADER FUND, INC.	supports_independently	$26,645	fec_ies
2026-01-08	SERVANT-LEADER FUND, INC.	contributed_to	$26,644	pas2
2026-01-08	SERVANT-LEADER FUND, INC.	supports_independently	$26,645	fec_ies
2025-10-10	CROSSPARTISAN PAC I	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2025-07-17	ILLINOIS POLITICAL ACTIVE LETTER CARRIERS	contributed_to	$250	pas2
2025-06-12	POPULAR HOPE & RENEWAL PAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	DAN TULLY FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees

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