VALENCIANO, ROMAN GAEL
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H6IL14152- Internal id
0f93bd79-da0b-448c-bb59-c725f85912b6- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), IL-14. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 763,833 |
| People | Median age | 37 |
| Income | Median household income | $95,523 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $42,848 |
| Income | In poverty | 9.2% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.2% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.426 |
| Race | White alone | 61.9% |
| Race | Black alone | 9.2% |
| Race | Asian alone | 5.5% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 23.9% |
| Race | Two or more races | 14.3% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 13.5% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 75.9% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 16.6% |
| Education | High school or higher | 60.4% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 34.2% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 12.9% |
| Household | Family households | 71.0% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.76 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 34.9% |
| Housing | Median home value | $280,800 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,263 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 71.5% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.3% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.4% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 4.7% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 4.8% |
| Health | With a disability | 10.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 93.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 4.7% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 74.6% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.3% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 12.9% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $590 | $556 | $35 | $551 | $39 |
Elections
- 2026 general house Β· IL-14 β running
Committees
- ROMAN FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | ROMAN FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |