OBLINGER, CARL D
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H6IL20084- Internal id
d778f173-0e9c-45c0-b97f-47810e28181d- Status
- challenger
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | $22,250 | $22,250 | $277 | $0 | $172 |
| 2002 | $8,452 | $8,451 | $277 | $21,412 | $55 |
| 2000 | $8,626 | $8,624 | $275 | $26,051 | $37 |
| 1998 | $30,361 | $30,726 | $273 | $30,206 | $438 |
| 1996 | $249,290 | $248,651 | $639 | $58,043 | $96,260 |
Elections
- 1996 general house Β· IL-20 β lost_general
Committees
- OBLINGER FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | OBLINGER FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |