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VOYLES, PATRICK CODY MR.

D Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H6IN09291
Internal id
a0a6320b-6104-4010-997e-a79c79ce90bd
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), IN-09. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation760,136
PeopleMedian age39
IncomeMedian household income$71,567
IncomePer-capita income$37,127
IncomeIn poverty12.1%
IncomeUnemployed3.9%
IncomeGini inequality index0.437
RaceWhite alone88.1%
RaceBlack alone2.6%
RaceAsian alone2.0%
RaceHispanic or Latino4.4%
RaceTwo or more races5.4%
OriginForeign-born3.7%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home94.5%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home2.7%
EducationHigh school or higher62.1%
EducationBachelor's or higher27.4%
EducationAdvanced degree10.9%
HouseholdFamily households62.9%
HouseholdAvg household size2.39
HouseholdNever married (15+)30.7%
HousingMedian home value$223,100
HousingMedian gross rent$1,024
HousingSingle-family detached71.6%
HousingBuilt before 19403.5%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)1.7%
HousingVacant units8.3%
ServiceVeterans (18+)6.9%
HealthWith a disability15.3%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband88.2%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet8.7%
CommuteDrove alone76.5%
CommutePublic transit0.4%
CommuteWorked from home10.8%

Elections

Committees

No committees on file.

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
D (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

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