BLANKENBAKER, VIRGINIA MURPHY
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H6IN10117- Internal id
460c9ed5-1034-45ba-9409-2df702b5cb45- Status
- challenger
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | $0 | $0 | $338 | $21,172 | $0 |
| 2002 | $0 | $14,700 | $338 | $21,172 | $0 |
| 2000 | $0 | $0 | $338 | $35,872 | $0 |
| 1998 | $191,801 | $235,133 | $338 | $30,580 | $128,266 |
| 1996 | $681,946 | $638,275 | $43,670 | $0 | $441,247 |
Elections
Committees
- VIRGINIA BLANKENBAKER FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | VIRGINIA BLANKENBAKER FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |