CARSON, JULIA
D Β· house
Sign in to add to a watchlist β
- FEC candidate id
H6IN10141- Internal id
fb742b75-f08c-4a20-92ef-d9acb2362fde- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), IN-07. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 752,682 |
| People | Median age | 34 |
| Income | Median household income | $64,147 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $38,105 |
| Income | In poverty | 16.3% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.4% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.478 |
| Race | White alone | 47.4% |
| Race | Black alone | 32.4% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.0% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 15.3% |
| Race | Two or more races | 10.1% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 12.3% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 81.6% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 12.2% |
| Education | High school or higher | 62.4% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 36.3% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 13.6% |
| Household | Family households | 53.8% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.35 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 42.1% |
| Housing | Median home value | $219,500 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,155 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 57.4% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 6.4% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.8% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 10.3% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 5.3% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.2% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 91.2% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.0% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 70.9% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.6% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 14.7% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | $0 | $0 | $716 | $0 | $0 |
| 2012 | $0 | $0 | $716 | $0 | $0 |
| 2010 | $0 | $47,000 | $716 | $0 | $0 |
| 2008 | $16,451 | $141,939 | $47,716 | $0 | $5,184 |
| 2006 | $476,142 | $604,966 | $173,203 | $6,269 | $223,723 |
| 2004 | $586,645 | $419,607 | $302,027 | $6,269 | $334,398 |
| 2002 | $998,612 | $1,099,928 | $134,990 | $0 | $460,896 |
| 2000 | $507,667 | $340,203 | $236,305 | $0 | $236,191 |
| 1998 | $836,119 | $773,835 | $68,844 | $0 | $372,912 |
| 1996 | $583,870 | $586,403 | $6,562 | $9,284 | $254,984 |
Elections
- 1996 general house Β· IN-10 β won
- 1998 general house Β· IN-10 β won
- 2000 general house Β· IN-10 β won
- 2002 general house Β· IN-7 β won
- 2004 general house Β· IN-7 β won
- 2006 general house Β· IN-7 β won
- 2008 general house Β· IN-7 β won
Committees
- JULIA CARSON FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | JULIA CARSON FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees |