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PERRY-ADELMANN, SHAY

R Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H6KY02092
Internal id
f32a1b5e-4425-4f27-a06e-d9fb241146f5
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), KY-02. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation765,661
PeopleMedian age39
IncomeMedian household income$66,796
IncomePer-capita income$35,773
IncomeIn poverty14.7%
IncomeUnemployed4.7%
IncomeGini inequality index0.467
RaceWhite alone85.0%
RaceBlack alone5.2%
RaceAsian alone2.1%
RaceHispanic or Latino4.6%
RaceTwo or more races5.7%
OriginForeign-born4.3%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home93.0%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home2.9%
EducationHigh school or higher59.0%
EducationBachelor's or higher23.8%
EducationAdvanced degree9.5%
HouseholdFamily households67.0%
HouseholdAvg household size2.50
HouseholdNever married (15+)27.9%
HousingMedian home value$213,900
HousingMedian gross rent$924
HousingSingle-family detached70.8%
HousingBuilt before 19403.1%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)2.4%
HousingVacant units9.5%
ServiceVeterans (18+)8.1%
HealthWith a disability17.4%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband89.1%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet8.6%
CommuteDrove alone79.2%
CommutePublic transit0.2%
CommuteWorked from home8.0%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2026$100,501$1,483$99,118$4,000$1

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

Outbound (1)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”principal_candidate_ofSHAY FOR US CONGRESSβ€”candidate_committees

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