THIBODAUX, DAVID
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H6LA07073- Internal id
e63bd9f9-62e8-4e40-9da7-0206ffd89e72- Status
- challenger
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006 | $396 | $446 | $14 | $32,092 | $200 |
| 2004 | $118,306 | $118,242 | $65 | $32,442 | $37,559 |
| 2002 | $0 | $0 | $91 | $21,000 | $0 |
| 2000 | $0 | $0 | $91 | $21,000 | $0 |
| 1998 | $260 | $293 | $91 | $21,000 | $0 |
| 1996 | $196,996 | $196,872 | $124 | $21,000 | $98,421 |
| 1994 | $0 | $1,059 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 1992 | $69 | $71 | $1,059 | $0 | $0 |
| 1990 | $174,207 | $172,276 | $1,061 | $0 | $149,271 |
| 1986 | $75,763 | $75,662 | $368 | $0 | $0 |
Elections
- 1986 general house Β· LA-7 β lost_general
- 1990 general house Β· LA-7 β lost_general
- 1996 general house Β· LA-7 β lost_general
- 2004 general house Β· LA-7 β lost_general
Committees
- DAVID THIBODAUX FOR CONGRESS INC β principal Β· type H
- THIBODAUX FOR CONGRESS '96 β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (2)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | THIBODAUX FOR CONGRESS '96 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | DAVID THIBODAUX FOR CONGRESS INC | β | candidate_committees |