LEPAGE, PAUL

R · house

FEC candidate id: H6ME02148
Internal id: 568e5edd-6f88-45fe-82a5-913b6b0abece
Status: open seat

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), ME-02. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	692,100
People	Median age	45
Income	Median household income	$64,428
Income	Per-capita income	$37,355
Income	In poverty	13.5%
Income	Unemployed	4.2%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.450
Race	White alone	91.7%
Race	Black alone	1.6%
Race	Asian alone	0.8%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	1.9%
Race	Two or more races	4.5%
Origin	Foreign-born	3.3%
Language	Speaks English only at home	94.0%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	0.9%
Education	High school or higher	63.4%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	28.4%
Education	Advanced degree	10.3%
Household	Family households	60.0%
Household	Avg household size	2.24
Household	Never married (15+)	28.8%
Housing	Median home value	$218,700
Housing	Median gross rent	$959
Housing	Single-family detached	71.4%
Housing	Built before 1940	4.3%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	1.7%
Housing	Vacant units	23.3%
Service	Veterans (18+)	8.9%
Health	With a disability	18.2%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	88.3%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	8.7%
Commute	Drove alone	73.7%
Commute	Public transit	0.3%
Commute	Worked from home	12.7%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$1,867,594	$532,074	$1,335,520	$0	$1,285,222

Elections

2026 general house · ME-2 — running

Committees

PAUL LEPAGE FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 20.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%
open seat	-5.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2026-03-31	ANTI-WOKE FUND	24K	$5,000
2026-03-31	VICTORY AND FREEDOM PAC (VAF PAC)	24K	$5,000
2026-03-31	PROTECT AMERICA	24K	$1,500
2026-03-31	PROTECT AMERICA	24K	$3,500
2026-03-31	TIMBERLINE PAC	24K	$3,500
2026-03-31	TIMBERLINE PAC	24K	$3,500
2026-03-31	ULTRA MAGA PAC	24K	$4,000
2026-03-31	BIG IDEAS CREATE EXCELLENCE PAC	24K	$2,500
2026-03-31	ANTI-WOKE FUND	24K	$5,000
2026-03-30	GREAT PLAINS PAC	24K	$2,500
2026-03-26	BRINGING REPUBLICAN EXCELLENCE TO TOWN PAC	24K	$2,500
2026-03-26	ANDY HARRIS FOR CONGRESS	24K	$2,000
2026-03-26	ANDY HARRIS FOR CONGRESS	24K	$2,000
2026-03-25	BUCKEYE LIBERTY POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	24K	$5,000
2026-03-25	BUCKEYE LIBERTY POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	24K	$5,000
2026-03-25	NRCC	24K	$5,000
2026-03-23	RVFPAC	24K	$2,000
2026-03-23	TENNESSEE TOUGH PAC	24K	$2,500
2026-03-20	LEADERSHIP AND LOYALTY ONLY TO AMERICA PAC	24K	$5,000
2026-03-18	WORKING FOR OHIO	24K	$5,000
2026-03-18	MIKE KENNEDY FOR UTAH	24K	$1,500
2026-03-18	MIKE KENNEDY FOR UTAH	24K	$2,000
2026-03-18	AMERICAN DREAM DELIVERED	24K	$5,000
2026-03-17	LEADERSHIP AND LOYALTY ONLY TO AMERICA PAC	24K	$5,000
2026-03-17	FIRST IN FREEDOM PAC	24K	$5,000

Top individual donors (2026 cycle)

Via this candidate's principal committee PAUL LEPAGE FOR CONGRESS.

Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.

Donor	Employer / occupation	City, ST	Gifts	Total
MAZZETTA, THOMAS	MAZZETTA COMPANY LLC · CEO	HIGHLAND PARK, IL	2	$7,500
GAUNCE, NANCY	RETIRED · RETIRED	WATERVILLE, ME	1	$7,000
GAUNCE, CHARLES R	RETIRED · RETIRED	WATERVILLE, ME	2	$7,000
TRACY, PAUL	THE WINTER HARBOR AGENCY · INSURANCE AND REAL ESTATE	GOULDSBORO, ME	1	$1,000
MCKIM, KERRY	RETIRED · RETIRED	SURRY, ME	1	$1,000
CARLISLE, DAVID	PRENTISS & CARLISLE COMPANY · CHAIRMAN	BANGOR, ME	1	$1,000
ATLEE, WILLIAM	RETIRED · RETIRED	AUGUSTA, ME	1	$500
VIENS, GERARD	THE PROCTER GAMBLE COMPANY · ENGINEER	CINCINNATI, OH	1	$260
MATTHEWS-BULL, SHEILA	RHUMB LINE RESORT · OWNER	KENNEBUNKPORT, ME	1	$250
POMROY, KARINA	PERUVIAN LINK · CE0	AMHERST, ME	1	$250
PERRY, JUDITH	RETIRED · RETIRED	NEWBURGH, ME	1	$100
LEE, ALISA	RETIRED · RETIRED	AUBURN, ME	1	$100
JACOBS, JAMES	RETIRED · RETIRED	CALAIS, ME	1	$100
LAWLER, MIKE	RETIRED · RETIRED	BRUNSWICK, ME	1	$50
MICHAUD, SHAWN	SEACOAST SECURITY · SYSTEM DESIGN	WATERVILLE, ME	1	$50
GOULET, JOHN	RETIRED · RETIRED	PHIPPSBURG, ME	1	$50
ZISES, DAVID	RETIRED · RETIRED	NEWTON CENTRE, MA	1	$25
BUZBY, ROBERT	RETIRED · RETIRED	AUGUSTA, ME	1	$25
TIBBETTS, RICHARD	POWERS TRANSPORTATION · TRUCK DRIVER	SEBEC, ME	1	$25

Connected on the graph

Inbound (49)

date	from	type	amount	source
2026-03-31	ULTRA MAGA PAC	contributed_to	$4,000	pas2
2026-03-31	VICTORY AND FREEDOM PAC (VAF PAC)	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-03-31	PROTECT AMERICA	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2026-03-31	PROTECT AMERICA	contributed_to	$3,500	pas2
2026-03-31	TIMBERLINE PAC	contributed_to	$3,500	pas2
2026-03-31	TIMBERLINE PAC	contributed_to	$3,500	pas2
2026-03-31	ANTI-WOKE FUND	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-03-31	ANTI-WOKE FUND	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-03-31	BIG IDEAS CREATE EXCELLENCE PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2026-03-30	GREAT PLAINS LEADERSHIP FUND	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2026-03-26	ANDY HARRIS FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2026-03-26	ANDY HARRIS FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2026-03-26	BRINGING REPUBLICAN EXCELLENCE TO TOWN PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2026-03-25	BUCKEYE LIBERTY PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-03-25	BUCKEYE LIBERTY PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-03-25	NRCC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-03-23	RVFPAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2026-03-23	TENNESSEE TOUGH PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2026-03-20	LEADERSHIP AND LOYALTY ONLY TO AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-03-18	AMERICAN DREAM DELIVERED	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-03-18	MIKE KENNEDY FOR UTAH	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2026-03-18	MIKE KENNEDY FOR UTAH	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2026-03-18	WORKING FOR OHIO	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-03-17	FIRST IN FREEDOM PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-03-17	LEADERSHIP AND LOYALTY ONLY TO AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-03-04	DIRIGO PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-03-04	DIRIGO PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-02-02	THE EYE OF THE TIGER POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-12-31	IN THE ARENA PAC	contributed_to	$-5,000	pas2
2025-12-31	SIX PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-12-29	SCALISE FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2025-12-29	THE EYE OF THE TIGER POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-12-23	NO FAIL MISSION PAC	contributed_to	$3,500	pas2
2025-12-23	NO FAIL MISSION PAC	contributed_to	$3,500	pas2
2025-12-22	ELECTING MAJORITY MAKING EFFECTIVE REPUBLICANS PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-12-22	EMMER FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2025-12-22	MIKE JOHNSON FOR LOUISIANA	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2025-12-22	AMERICAN REVIVAL PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-10-31	JIM JORDAN FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2025-10-31	JIM JORDAN FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2025-10-16	LETS GET TO WORK PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-09-30	ONE COUNTRY, ONE DESTINY PAC	contributed_to	$3,500	pas2
2025-09-30	OLD BREED PAC, INC.	contributed_to	$3,500	pas2
2025-09-29	SEAL TEAM PT PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2025-09-29	MCGUIRE FOR VIRGINIA	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2025-09-26	SKOL PAC	contributed_to	$3,500	pas2
2025-09-26	SKOL PAC	contributed_to	$3,500	pas2
2025-08-13	MR. SOUTHERN MISSOURIAN IN THE HOUSE PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-08-13	IN THE ARENA PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	PAUL LEPAGE FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees

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