DUNLAP, MATT

D · house

FEC candidate id: H6ME02171
Internal id: 98b60910-31ae-4472-b2fd-7758fc6b5167
Status: open seat

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), ME-02. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	692,100
People	Median age	45
Income	Median household income	$64,428
Income	Per-capita income	$37,355
Income	In poverty	13.5%
Income	Unemployed	4.2%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.450
Race	White alone	91.7%
Race	Black alone	1.6%
Race	Asian alone	0.8%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	1.9%
Race	Two or more races	4.5%
Origin	Foreign-born	3.3%
Language	Speaks English only at home	94.0%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	0.9%
Education	High school or higher	63.4%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	28.4%
Education	Advanced degree	10.3%
Household	Family households	60.0%
Household	Avg household size	2.24
Household	Never married (15+)	28.8%
Housing	Median home value	$218,700
Housing	Median gross rent	$959
Housing	Single-family detached	71.4%
Housing	Built before 1940	4.3%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	1.7%
Housing	Vacant units	23.3%
Service	Veterans (18+)	8.9%
Health	With a disability	18.2%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	88.3%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	8.7%
Commute	Drove alone	73.7%
Commute	Public transit	0.3%
Commute	Worked from home	12.7%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$628,214	$383,959	$244,255	$0	$609,357

Elections

2026 general house · ME-2 — running

Committees

DUNLAP FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 20.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
D (major party)	+10.0%
open seat	-5.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2026	$50,606	$0	2

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
2026-05-14	NATIONAL NURSES UNITED FOR PATIENT PROTECTION	support	$43,875	Postage and processing for postcard mailers starting 5/15/26
2026-05-14	NATIONAL NURSES UNITED FOR PATIENT PROTECTION	support	$6,731	Postcard mailers

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2026-03-20	NATIONAL NURSES UNITED PAC - A FUND FOR A HEALT…	24K	$3,000
2025-12-31	FREE AND FAIR DEMOCRACY PAC	24K	$5,000

Top individual donors (2026 cycle)

Via this candidate's principal committee DUNLAP FOR CONGRESS.

Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.

Donor	Employer / occupation	City, ST	Gifts	Total
BALDACCI, ROBERT	SELF · REAL ESTATE BROKER	CUMBERLAND FORESIDE, ME	1	$1,000
BILLINGS, RUTH	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	SURRY, ME	1	$1,000
FLETCHER, SHERRY	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	SURRY, ME	1	$1,000
LOGAN, ANDREW	RSUSD · IT	NO. YARMOUTH, ME	1	$1,000
MACTAGGART, TERRENCE	SELF · CONSULTANT	WINTHROP, ME	1	$1,000
PINEAU, EDWARD	SELF · CONSULTANT	AUGUSTA, ME	1	$1,000
TREACY, JONATHAN	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	OXFORD, ME	1	$1,000
TUPPER, BEN	BIGELOW LABORATORY FOR OCEAN SCIENCE · RESEARCH ASSOCIATE	FALMOUTH, ME	1	$1,000
CYR, JOSEPH	RETIRED · RETIRED	OLD TOWN, ME	1	$500
KUBETZ, CYNTHIA	RETIRED · RETIRED	HAMPDEN, ME	1	$500
WOOTTEN, JOHN	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	BLUE HILL, ME	1	$500
QUIMY, LUCY	RETIRED · RETIRED	BANGOR, ME	1	$500
LEMOINE, KAREN	SELF · SOCIAL WORKER	SACO, ME	1	$500
REDDING, BRENDA	RETIRED · RETIRED	MILFORD, ME	1	$500
CHANDLER, KENN	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	MOUNT DESERT, ME	1	$500
MARCH, NOEL	UMA · PROFESSOR	HAMPDEN, ME	1	$500
D'AMICO, CHRISTOPHER	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	BREWER, ME	1	$500
SWEET, BETSY	MOOSE RIDGE ASSOCIATES · CONSULTANT	HALLOWELL, ME	1	$500
FEASLEY, LYNN	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	NEW YORK, NY	1	$500
LIBBY, CINDY	FIDIUM · FIBER SPECIALIST	GLENBURN, ME	1	$300
DARLING, JOHN	DARLING'S · PRESIDENT	DEDHAM, ME	1	$300
DUDLEY, BENJAMIN	H.Q. ENERGY SERVICES (US) INC. · DIRECTOR - STAKEHOLDER RELATIONS	PORTLAND, ME	1	$250
DUNLAP, JENNIFER	DUNLAP WEAVERS · WEAVER	ORLAND, ME	1	$250
STREET, JEFF	STREETS · SELF	OLD TOWN, ME	1	$250
THOMAS, PATRICK	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	YORBA LINDA, CA	1	$250

Connected on the graph

Inbound (4)

date	from	type	amount	source
2026-05-14	NATIONAL NURSES UNITED FOR PATIENT PROTECTION	supports_independently	$43,875	fec_ies
2026-05-14	NATIONAL NURSES UNITED FOR PATIENT PROTECTION	supports_independently	$6,731	fec_ies
2026-03-20	NATIONAL NURSES UNITED PAC - A FUND FOR A HEALTHY AMERICA	contributed_to	$3,000	pas2
2025-12-31	FREE AND FAIR DEMOCRACY PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	DUNLAP FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees

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