MICHAL, JUSTIN
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H6MI01242- Internal id
55584c46-1b33-4ce5-b3ec-d06bc9371a79- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), MI-01. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 783,000 |
| People | Median age | 47 |
| Income | Median household income | $64,546 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $37,883 |
| Income | In poverty | 12.6% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.8% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.453 |
| Race | White alone | 89.9% |
| Race | Black alone | 1.2% |
| Race | Asian alone | 0.6% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 2.3% |
| Race | Two or more races | 5.6% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 1.9% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 97.0% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 1.0% |
| Education | High school or higher | 59.5% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 28.3% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 10.7% |
| Household | Family households | 61.8% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.21 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 27.2% |
| Housing | Median home value | $196,300 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $873 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 81.2% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 5.2% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.4% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 31.0% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 8.8% |
| Health | With a disability | 17.2% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 87.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 9.1% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 75.2% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.6% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 10.1% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $40,315 | $34,830 | $5,485 | $0 | $19,725 |
Elections
- 2026 general house Β· MI-1 β running
Committees
- JUSTIN MICHAL FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Top individual donors (2026 cycle)
Via this candidate's principal committee JUSTIN MICHAL FOR CONGRESS.
Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.
| Donor | Employer / occupation | City, ST | Gifts | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MORRISON, CHARLES | RETIRED Β· RETIRED | SOUTH BRANCH, MI | 1 | $500 |
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | JUSTIN MICHAL FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |