UPTON, FREDERICK STEPHEN

R · house · bioguide U000031

FEC candidate id: H6MI04113
Internal id: 30477409-c56a-4954-94d6-031db606d39d
Status: incumbent

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), MI-06. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	771,301
People	Median age	39
Income	Median household income	$97,063
Income	Per-capita income	$53,490
Income	In poverty	10.1%
Income	Unemployed	4.6%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.462
Race	White alone	70.1%
Race	Black alone	9.8%
Race	Asian alone	10.8%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	5.4%
Race	Two or more races	7.6%
Origin	Foreign-born	13.6%
Language	Speaks English only at home	83.8%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	2.8%
Education	High school or higher	70.2%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	52.5%
Education	Advanced degree	25.6%
Household	Family households	62.2%
Household	Avg household size	2.42
Household	Never married (15+)	35.2%
Housing	Median home value	$349,300
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,440
Housing	Single-family detached	60.1%
Housing	Built before 1940	3.6%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	1.1%
Housing	Vacant units	5.4%
Service	Veterans (18+)	4.7%
Health	With a disability	10.9%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	94.4%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	3.4%
Commute	Drove alone	65.9%
Commute	Public transit	1.9%
Commute	Worked from home	21.4%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2022	$1,755,169	$1,409,451	$533,594	$0	$762,950
2020	$3,646,564	$3,494,801	$187,875	$0	$1,522,229
2018	$3,123,456	$3,580,576	$36,112	$0	$1,161,194
2016	$2,985,193	$2,546,884	$493,232	$0	$840,703
2014	$3,926,018	$3,941,684	$54,922	$49,270	$994,179
2012	$4,129,538	$4,724,798	$70,588	$0	$1,317,657
2010	$2,014,321	$2,083,790	$665,848	$0	$613,784
2008	$1,413,950	$1,527,593	$735,317	$0	$521,060
2006	$1,237,454	$972,302	$848,960	$0	$533,716
2004	$1,100,830	$678,688	$583,808	$0	$466,742
2002	$1,231,900	$1,573,679	$161,584	$0	$597,351
2000	$771,231	$620,512	$503,364	$0	$385,696
1998	$658,332	$600,617	$352,643	$0	$328,956
1996	$625,329	$399,520	$294,930	$0	$349,456
1994	$537,130	$575,406	$69,123	$0	$305,398
1992	$432,851	$367,596	$107,399	$0	$275,665
1990	$445,881	$503,164	$42,144	$800	$274,857
1988	$422,884	$323,829	$99,428	$38,789	$255,317
1986	$383,041	$382,663	$377	$78,502	$0

Elections

1986 general house · MI-4 — won
1988 general house · MI-4 — won
1990 general house · MI-4 — won
1992 general house · MI-6 — won
1994 general house · MI-6 — won
1996 general house · MI-6 — won
1998 general house · MI-6 — won
2000 general house · MI-6 — won
2002 general house · MI-6 — won
2004 general house · MI-6 — won
2006 general house · MI-6 — won
2008 general house · MI-6 — won
2010 general house · MI-6 — won
2012 general house · MI-6 — won
2014 general house · MI-6 — won
2016 general house · MI-6 — won
2018 general house · MI-6 — won
2020 general house · MI-6 — won
2022 general house · MI-6 — won

Committees

CAMP UPTON VICTORY COMMITTEE — joint_fundraising · type H
MURKOWSKI UPTON VICTORY COMMITTEE — joint_fundraising · type H
UP TO US — principal · type N
UP TO US — independent · type N
UPTON VICTORY COMMITTEE — joint_fundraising · type N
UPTON VICTORY COMMITTEE — joint_fundraising · type N

Recent votes

No votes on file.

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 99.0%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
incumbent	+78.0%
R (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2022	$0	$16,250	2

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
2021-06-02	DRAIN THE DC SWAMP PAC	oppose	$6,250	Digital Advertising
2021-05-28	DRAIN THE DC SWAMP PAC	oppose	$10,000	Digital Advertising

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2022-10-31	AMERICAN HOSPITAL ASSOCIATION PAC	24K	$-2,000
2022-10-17	BUILDING BRIDGES PAC	24K	$-1,000
2022-10-07	AMGEN INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	24K	$-1,500
2022-08-26	AMERICAN ACADEMY OF DERMATOLOGY ASSOCIATION POL…	24K	$-1,500
2022-08-26	AMERICAN ACADEMY OF DERMATOLOGY ASSOCIATION POL…	24K	$-1,000
2022-08-10	CENTENE CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE …	24K	$-4,000
2022-07-26	CENCORA, INC. PAC	24K	$-1,000
2022-07-21	AMERICAN COUNCIL OF ENGINEERING COMPANIES (ACEC…	24K	$-1,000
2022-07-20	ENGINEERS POLITICAL EDUCATION COMMITTEE (EPEC)/…	24K	$-5,000
2022-07-15	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF LETTER CARRIERS OF U.S.…	24K	$-2,500
2022-07-15	FLUOR CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (F…	24K	$-2,500
2022-07-11	AMAZON.COM SERVICES LLC SEPARATE SEGREGATED FUN…	24K	$-2,500
2022-07-08	WINRED	24K	$0
2022-07-05	WINRED	24K	$0
2022-07-01	DELTA AIR LINES PAC	24K	$-5,000
2022-07-01	EQUIPMENT LEASING AND FINANCE ASSN PAC (LEASEPA…	24K	$-5,000
2022-06-30	RENAISSANCE HEALTH SERVICE CORPORATION POLITICA…	24K	$-1,500
2022-06-24	FUTURE FIRST LEADERSHIP PAC	24K	$-5,000
2022-06-22	LABORERS' INTERNATIONAL UNION OF NORTH AMERICA …	24K	$-5,000
2022-06-21	FRIENDS OF COMMUNITY ONCOLOGY PAC	24K	$-2,000
2022-06-21	BUILDING BRIDGES PAC	24K	$-2,500
2022-06-21	CMR POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	24K	$-2,500
2022-06-21	SOCIETY OF THORACIC SURGEONS POLITICAL ACTION C…	24K	$-5,000
2022-06-21	BUILDING BRIDGES PAC	24K	$-1,000
2022-06-15	SALT RIVER VALLEY WATER USERS' ASSOCIATION POLI…	24K	$-1,000

Connected on the graph

Inbound (100)

date	from	type	amount	source
2022-10-31	AMERICAN HOSPITAL ASSOCIATION PAC	contributed_to	$-2,000	pas2
2022-10-17	BUILDING BRIDGES PAC	contributed_to	$-1,000	pas2
2022-10-07	AMGEN INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-1,500	pas2
2022-08-26	AMERICAN ACADEMY OF DERMATOLOGY ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (SKINPAC)	contributed_to	$-1,000	pas2
2022-08-26	AMERICAN ACADEMY OF DERMATOLOGY ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (SKINPAC)	contributed_to	$-1,500	pas2
2022-08-10	CENTENE CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (CENTENE PAC)	contributed_to	$-4,000	pas2
2022-07-26	CENCORA, INC. PAC	contributed_to	$-1,000	pas2
2022-07-21	AMERICAN COUNCIL OF ENGINEERING COMPANIES (ACEC/PAC)	contributed_to	$-1,000	pas2
2022-07-20	ENGINEERS POLITICAL EDUCATION COMMITTEE (EPEC)/INTERNATIONAL UNION OF OPERATING ENGINEERS	contributed_to	$-5,000	pas2
2022-07-15	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF LETTER CARRIERS OF U.S.A. POLITICAL FUND (LETTER CARRIER POLITICAL FUND)	contributed_to	$-2,500	pas2
2022-07-15	FLUOR CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (FLUOR PAC)	contributed_to	$-2,500	pas2
2022-07-11	AMAZON.COM SERVICES LLC SEPARATE SEGREGATED FUND (AMAZON PAC)	contributed_to	$-2,500	pas2
2022-07-08	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-07-05	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-07-01	DELTA AIR LINES PAC	contributed_to	$-5,000	pas2
2022-07-01	EQUIPMENT LEASING AND FINANCE ASSN PAC (LEASEPAC)	contributed_to	$-5,000	pas2
2022-06-30	RENAISSANCE HEALTH SERVICE CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-1,500	pas2
2022-06-24	FUTURE FIRST LEADERSHIP PAC	contributed_to	$-5,000	pas2
2022-06-22	LABORERS' INTERNATIONAL UNION OF NORTH AMERICA (LIUNA) PAC	contributed_to	$-5,000	pas2
2022-06-21	SOCIETY OF THORACIC SURGEONS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-5,000	pas2
2022-06-21	BUILDING BRIDGES PAC	contributed_to	$-2,500	pas2
2022-06-21	CMR POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-2,500	pas2
2022-06-21	FRIENDS OF COMMUNITY ONCOLOGY PAC	contributed_to	$-2,000	pas2
2022-06-21	BUILDING BRIDGES PAC	contributed_to	$-1,000	pas2
2022-06-15	SALT RIVER VALLEY WATER USERS' ASSOCIATION POLITICAL INVOLVEMENT COMMITTEE ( SRPPIC)	contributed_to	$-1,000	pas2
2022-06-09	DEERE & COMPANY PAC (AKA JOHN DEERE PAC)	contributed_to	$-5,000	pas2
2022-05-31	AMERICAN UROLOGICAL ASSOCIATION, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (AUAPAC)	contributed_to	$-1,000	pas2
2022-05-31	WSP USA INC. PAC	contributed_to	$-1,000	pas2
2022-05-24	REPUBLICAN MAINSTREET PARTNERSHIP PAC	contributed_to	$-5,000	pas2
2022-05-24	NATIONAL MULTIFAMILY HOUSING COUNCIL AND REAL ESTATE TECHNOLOGY AND TRANSFORMATION CENTER POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (NMHC PAC)	contributed_to	$-5,000	pas2
2022-05-16	CHARTER COMMUNICATIONS INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-5,000	pas2
2022-04-12	MACHINISTS NON PARTISAN POLITICAL LEAGUE OF THE INTERNATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF MACHINISTS & AEROSPACE WORKERS	contributed_to	$-5,000	pas2
2022-04-06	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1,000	pas2
2022-04-05	UNITED POSTMASTERS AND MANAGERS OF AMERICA POLITICAL FUND	contributed_to	$-1,000	pas2
2022-04-05	CHAMBER OF COMMERCE OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA PAC (US CHAMBER PAC)	contributed_to	$-2,500	pas2
2022-03-31	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10	pas2
2022-03-31	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10	pas2
2022-03-31	AMERICAN DENTAL ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-03-29	AMERICAN COLLEGE OF RADIOLOGY ASSOCIATION PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-03-29	AMERICAN TRAFFIC SAFETY SERVICES ASSOCIATION PAC	contributed_to	$500	pas2
2022-03-28	AMERICAN HOSPITAL ASSOCIATION PAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-03-28	AMERICAN POSTAL WORKERS UNION COMMITTEE ON POLITICAL ACTION	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-03-27	SALT CITY PAC	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2022-03-25	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2	pas2
2022-03-24	HONEYWELL INTERNATIONAL POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-03-24	CENTENE CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (CENTENE PAC)	contributed_to	$4,000	pas2
2022-03-24	CENTENE CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (CENTENE PAC)	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-03-23	EATON CORPORATION PUBLIC POLICY ASSOCIATION	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-03-23	AMERICAN COLLEGE OF OB-GYNS PAC (OB-GYN PAC)	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-03-23	KELLANOVA POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$4,000	pas2
2022-03-18	EQUIPMENT LEASING AND FINANCE ASSN PAC (LEASEPAC)	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-03-18	EQUIPMENT LEASING AND FINANCE ASSN PAC (LEASEPAC)	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-03-16	AMERICAN UROLOGICAL ASSOCIATION, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (AUAPAC)	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-03-15	NATIONAL MULTIFAMILY HOUSING COUNCIL AND REAL ESTATE TECHNOLOGY AND TRANSFORMATION CENTER POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (NMHC PAC)	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-03-15	UNITED POSTMASTERS AND MANAGERS OF AMERICA POLITICAL FUND	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-03-14	MR. SOUTHERN MISSOURIAN IN THE HOUSE PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-03-11	FRESENIUS MEDICAL CARE HOLDINGS, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-03-11	WINRED	contributed_to	$-15	pas2
2022-03-11	AMERICAN VETERINARY MEDICAL ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-03-09	THE PROCTER & GAMBLE COMPANY GOOD GOVERNMENT FUND	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-03-09	SALT RIVER VALLEY WATER USERS' ASSOCIATION POLITICAL INVOLVEMENT COMMITTEE ( SRPPIC)	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-03-08	BUILDING BRIDGES PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-03-08	AMERICAN ACADEMY OF DERMATOLOGY ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (SKINPAC)	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2022-03-08	AMERICAN ACADEMY OF DERMATOLOGY ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (SKINPAC)	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-03-03	NATIONAL RURAL ELECTRIC COOPERATIVE ASSOCIATION AMERICA'S ELECTRIC COOPERATIVES PAC	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2022-03-03	INTERNATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF FIREFIGHTERS INTERESTED IN REGISTRATION AND EDUCATION PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-03-01	AECOM PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-02-28	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-02-28	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-02-28	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-02-24	AMERICAN COLLEGE OF SURGEONS PROFESSIONAL ASSOCIATION PAC	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2022-02-21	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10	pas2
2022-02-21	AMERICA'S CREDIT UNIONS PAC OF CREDIT UNION NATIONAL ASSOCIATION, INC.	contributed_to	$-5,000	pas2
2022-02-17	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-02-17	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-02-09	GLOBAL BLOOD THERAPEUTICS, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (GBT PAC)	contributed_to	$2,900	pas2
2022-02-07	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-02-07	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2	pas2
2022-02-07	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2	pas2
2022-02-07	BUILDING BRIDGES PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-02-04	AMERICAN SOCIETY OF ANESTHESIOLOGISTS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (ASA PAC)	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-02-01	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10	pas2
2022-01-31	FLUOR CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (FLUOR PAC)	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-01-31	WINRED	contributed_to	$-20	pas2
2022-01-31	WINRED	contributed_to	$-20	pas2
2022-01-31	WINRED	contributed_to	$-20	pas2
2022-01-29	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2	pas2
2022-01-29	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-01-29	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-01-29	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-01-29	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-01-28	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-01-27	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1	pas2
2022-01-26	NATIONAL EMERGENCY MEDICINE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE / AMERICAN COLLEGE OF EMERGENCY PHYSICIANS	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-01-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-01-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-01-19	CHAMBER OF COMMERCE OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA PAC (US CHAMBER PAC)	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-01-19	AMERICAN COUNCIL OF ENGINEERING COMPANIES (ACEC/PAC)	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-01-17	SOCIETY OF THORACIC SURGEONS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-01-10	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1	pas2

Outbound (6)

date	type	to	amount	source
—	independent_committee_of	UP TO US	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	MURKOWSKI UPTON VICTORY COMMITTEE	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	CAMP UPTON VICTORY COMMITTEE	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	UPTON VICTORY COMMITTEE	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	UPTON VICTORY COMMITTEE	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	UP TO US	—	candidate_committees

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