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CARTWRIGHT, JASEN D

I Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H6MI09211
Internal id
bcd95be4-6d3b-4b94-b570-562e3f4365b4
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), MI-09. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation778,989
PeopleMedian age43
IncomeMedian household income$85,269
IncomePer-capita income$44,084
IncomeIn poverty8.8%
IncomeUnemployed4.7%
IncomeGini inequality index0.438
RaceWhite alone89.1%
RaceBlack alone2.4%
RaceAsian alone1.4%
RaceHispanic or Latino4.1%
RaceTwo or more races5.5%
OriginForeign-born4.1%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home94.2%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home1.8%
EducationHigh school or higher59.5%
EducationBachelor's or higher29.2%
EducationAdvanced degree10.6%
HouseholdFamily households69.0%
HouseholdAvg household size2.50
HouseholdNever married (15+)27.5%
HousingMedian home value$279,300
HousingMedian gross rent$1,073
HousingSingle-family detached79.3%
HousingBuilt before 19404.4%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)1.1%
HousingVacant units7.8%
ServiceVeterans (18+)6.2%
HealthWith a disability13.8%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband91.5%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet6.6%
CommuteDrove alone77.9%
CommutePublic transit0.5%
CommuteWorked from home12.3%

Elections

Committees

No committees on file.

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 15.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

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