MURPHY, MICHELLE M.
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H6MI11282- Internal id
38028285-eeee-44b9-953f-0bad7d3e85d4- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), MI-11. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 775,896 |
| People | Median age | 41 |
| Income | Median household income | $93,271 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $56,888 |
| Income | In poverty | 8.8% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.0% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.479 |
| Race | White alone | 68.1% |
| Race | Black alone | 12.8% |
| Race | Asian alone | 9.0% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 5.6% |
| Race | Two or more races | 8.0% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 14.4% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 82.4% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 3.4% |
| Education | High school or higher | 68.7% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 50.8% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 22.2% |
| Household | Family households | 58.6% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.32 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 34.8% |
| Housing | Median home value | $327,400 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,339 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 68.0% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 6.9% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.4% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 5.7% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 4.3% |
| Health | With a disability | 11.9% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 93.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 4.5% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 71.0% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.3% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 20.2% |
Elections
- 2026 general house Β· MI-11 β running
Committees
No committees on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.