KISTNER, TYLER
R · house
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- FEC candidate id
H6MN02255- Internal id
37996b46-0b11-4af3-ada6-e0e685de6d95- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), MN-02. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 730,253 |
| People | Median age | 38 |
| Income | Median household income | $108,849 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $51,623 |
| Income | In poverty | 5.5% |
| Income | Unemployed | 3.6% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.413 |
| Race | White alone | 75.8% |
| Race | Black alone | 6.9% |
| Race | Asian alone | 5.5% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 8.1% |
| Race | Two or more races | 7.6% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 9.7% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 86.2% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 5.2% |
| Education | High school or higher | 63.8% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 43.5% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 14.1% |
| Household | Family households | 69.6% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.60 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 30.8% |
| Housing | Median home value | $386,000 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,521 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 63.8% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 1.8% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.0% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 3.1% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 5.7% |
| Health | With a disability | 10.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 94.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 3.7% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 68.5% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.9% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 20.4% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $415,619 | $388,096 | $27,523 | $0 | $313,748 |
Elections
- 2026 general house · MN-2 — running
Committees
- KISTNER FOR MINNESOTA — principal · type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Δ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-09 | THE GUARDIAN FUND | 24K | $2,500 |
| 2026-02-27 | PLUS PAC | 24K | $3,500 |
| 2025-09-26 | OLD BREED PAC | 24K | $3,500 |
| 2025-06-14 | MINNESOTA YOUNG REPUBLICANS VICTORY FUND | 24K | $1,811 |
| 2022-10-17 | GOA VICTORY FUND | 24E | $10,120 |
Top individual donors (2026 cycle)
Via this candidate's principal committee KISTNER FOR MINNESOTA.
Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.
| Donor | Employer / occupation | City, ST | Gifts | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALEXANDER, PATRICK | RETIRED · RETIRED | WAYZATA, MN | 1 | $1,000 |
| CAMARA, STEVEN A MR. | RETIRED · RETIRED | NEW BEDFORD, MA | 1 | $1,000 |
| KING, MARY S MRS. | MEDICAL TECHNOLOGIST · SEMI RETIRED | FRONT ROYAL, VA | 1 | $750 |
| SHANDA, DONALD J MR. | RETIRED · RETIRED | TWO HARBORS, MN | 1 | $500 |
| WELLIVER, JUDSON | SELF EMPLOYES · REAL ESTATE | MINNEAPOLIS, MN | 1 | $250 |
| BASBALLE, PAUL | SELF · RANCHING | LAKE CITY, MN | 1 | $250 |
| GORANS, JOHN F MR. | RETIRED · RETIRED | WILLMAR, MN | 1 | $250 |
| GUSTAFSON, CARLTON MR. | RETIRED · RET | BIRD ISLAND, MN | 1 | $250 |
| LEONARD, DEAN | SMILE DOCTORS · DENTIST | ALBERT LEA, MN | 1 | $250 |
| GRAINGER, SUSAN | RETIRED · RETIRED | SANTA MARIA, CA | 3 | $202 |
| JOHNSON, DAVID C MR. | RETIRED · RETIRED | FAIRMONT, MN | 1 | $200 |
| GLASGOW, JOHN M MR. | RETIRED · RETIRED | SAINT PAUL, MN | 1 | $200 |
| JOHNSON, BRYAN T MR. | INNOVATIVE TOOLS · TOOL DESIGNER | VADNAIS HEIGHTS, MN | 1 | $200 |
| MANSUR, JOSEPH M MR. RET | RETIRED · RETRIED | SAINT PAUL, MN | 1 | $150 |
| SZCZEPANSKI, DAVID JOEL MR. | RETIRED · RETIRED | STILLWATER, MN | 1 | $100 |
| BONNELL, REBECCA | RETIRED · RETIRED | APPLE VALLEY, MN | 1 | $100 |
| RATLIFF, ALAN D | RETIRED · RETIRED | FRISCO, TX | 1 | $100 |
| STEWART, SCOTT E MR. | STEWART PLLC · ATTORNEY | FORT WORTH, TX | 1 | $100 |
| STUDE, STEPHEN M MR. | SELF EMPLOYED · FARMER | BREWSTER, MN | 1 | $50 |
| GROSSLEIN, ROGER M MR. | RETIRED · RETIRED | HASTINGS, MN | 1 | $50 |
| JEFFUS, DAVID | RETIRED · RETIRED | CROCKETT, TX | 1 | $47 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (5)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-09 | GUARDIAN POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-27 | PLUS PAC | contributed_to | $3,500 | pas2 | |
| 2025-09-26 | OLD BREED PAC, INC. | contributed_to | $3,500 | pas2 | |
| 2025-06-14 | MINNESOTA YOUNG REPUBLICANS VICTORY FUND | contributed_to | $1,811 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-17 | GOA VICTORY FUND | contributed_to | $10,120 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | principal_candidate_of | KISTNER FOR MINNESOTA | — | candidate_committees |