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BROWN SR, THEODIS

I Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H6MO03424
Internal id
10d08c9a-82f9-46f1-a769-a05bd2689d71
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), MO-03. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation780,389
PeopleMedian age39
IncomeMedian household income$81,928
IncomePer-capita income$42,523
IncomeIn poverty9.9%
IncomeUnemployed3.4%
IncomeGini inequality index0.440
RaceWhite alone85.5%
RaceBlack alone4.7%
RaceAsian alone2.2%
RaceHispanic or Latino3.6%
RaceTwo or more races6.2%
OriginForeign-born3.5%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home95.0%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home1.8%
EducationHigh school or higher64.2%
EducationBachelor's or higher35.5%
EducationAdvanced degree13.6%
HouseholdFamily households65.4%
HouseholdAvg household size2.45
HouseholdNever married (15+)30.2%
HousingMedian home value$268,300
HousingMedian gross rent$1,045
HousingSingle-family detached71.7%
HousingBuilt before 19402.0%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)1.2%
HousingVacant units10.9%
ServiceVeterans (18+)7.1%
HealthWith a disability13.7%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband91.0%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet6.3%
CommuteDrove alone76.2%
CommutePublic transit0.3%
CommuteWorked from home12.7%

Elections

Committees

No committees on file.

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 15.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

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