HUGHES, LEONARD JONAS IV
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H6MO05320- Internal id
a31e5215-e3da-4b68-bcaa-2cc2fa0153fe- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), MO-05. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 772,256 |
| People | Median age | 37 |
| Income | Median household income | $67,634 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $39,381 |
| Income | In poverty | 14.2% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.7% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.458 |
| Race | White alone | 61.0% |
| Race | Black alone | 22.0% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.1% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 11.8% |
| Race | Two or more races | 10.0% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 7.2% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 88.8% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 7.2% |
| Education | High school or higher | 62.0% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 34.4% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 12.9% |
| Household | Family households | 55.1% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.29 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 37.8% |
| Housing | Median home value | $226,700 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,197 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 65.0% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 5.3% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.0% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 8.6% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.3% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.2% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 90.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.2% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 72.4% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.3% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 15.9% |
Elections
- 2026 general house Β· MO-5 β running
Committees
No committees on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.