TUNE, JOHNATHON
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H6MO08167- Internal id
8a175822-75e9-4892-bc4b-8bca1addf19a- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), MO-08. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 772,835 |
| People | Median age | 40 |
| Income | Median household income | $60,159 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $31,689 |
| Income | In poverty | 15.5% |
| Income | Unemployed | 3.9% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.450 |
| Race | White alone | 87.8% |
| Race | Black alone | 3.8% |
| Race | Asian alone | 0.9% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 2.6% |
| Race | Two or more races | 6.5% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 1.8% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 97.2% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 1.1% |
| Education | High school or higher | 58.4% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 20.8% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 7.5% |
| Household | Family households | 65.4% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.48 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 28.6% |
| Housing | Median home value | $181,400 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $806 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 74.8% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.5% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.8% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 13.0% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 8.1% |
| Health | With a disability | 18.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 86.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 10.5% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 79.7% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.2% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 7.9% |
Elections
- 2026 general house Β· MO-8 β running
Committees
- JOHNATHON TUNE FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | JOHNATHON TUNE FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |