DELEON GUERRERO, GALVIN SABLAN
I Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H6MP01027- Internal id
971db51b-0720-4cfc-8f98-c0054c76ec42- Status
- challenger
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $7,290 | $1,088 | $6,202 | $0 | $7,290 |
Elections
- 2026 general house Β· MP-1 β running
Committees
- GALVIN FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 15.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | GALVIN FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |