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WATSON, COLBY

D Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H6NC08202
Internal id
58bb0a04-0ab2-45e2-be5c-bc860f87c9d6
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NC-08. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation765,329
PeopleMedian age40
IncomeMedian household income$81,221
IncomePer-capita income$42,468
IncomeIn poverty12.2%
IncomeUnemployed4.9%
IncomeGini inequality index0.489
RaceWhite alone61.6%
RaceBlack alone16.9%
RaceAsian alone4.0%
RaceHispanic or Latino9.7%
RaceTwo or more races7.1%
OriginForeign-born9.2%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home86.7%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home7.5%
EducationHigh school or higher60.4%
EducationBachelor's or higher35.0%
EducationAdvanced degree12.4%
HouseholdFamily households72.6%
HouseholdAvg household size2.71
HouseholdNever married (15+)30.8%
HousingMedian home value$336,400
HousingMedian gross rent$1,129
HousingSingle-family detached75.2%
HousingBuilt before 19403.0%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)2.4%
HousingVacant units9.6%
ServiceVeterans (18+)6.2%
HealthWith a disability12.9%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband90.7%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet7.5%
CommuteDrove alone72.8%
CommutePublic transit0.3%
CommuteWorked from home16.5%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2026$29,102$27,271$1,835$0$5,652

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
D (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
2026-02-14NORTH CAROLINA DEMOCRATIC PARTY - FEDERAL24K$3,000
2025-12-31NORTH CAROLINA DEMOCRATIC PARTY - FEDERAL24K$3,000

Connected on the graph

Inbound (4)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
2026-02-14NORTH CAROLINA DEMOCRATIC PARTY - FEDERALcommittee_contributed_to_candidate$3,00024Kfec_pas2
2026-02-14NORTH CAROLINA DEMOCRATIC PARTY - FEDERALcontributed_to$3,000pas2
2025-12-31NORTH CAROLINA DEMOCRATIC PARTY - FEDERALcommittee_contributed_to_candidate$3,00024Kfec_pas2
2025-12-31NORTH CAROLINA DEMOCRATIC PARTY - FEDERALcontributed_to$3,000pas2

Outbound (1)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”principal_candidate_ofCOLBY WATSON FOR CONGRESSβ€”candidate_committees

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