CALDWELL, BRENT

D · house

FEC candidate id: H6NC14036
Internal id: 6d8bf088-8fb0-457f-97e7-ae57ee2bce51
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NC-14. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	767,409
People	Median age	41
Income	Median household income	$75,731
Income	Per-capita income	$43,810
Income	In poverty	11.8%
Income	Unemployed	4.4%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.485
Race	White alone	68.1%
Race	Black alone	15.4%
Race	Asian alone	3.9%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	9.2%
Race	Two or more races	8.4%
Origin	Foreign-born	8.7%
Language	Speaks English only at home	88.1%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	7.0%
Education	High school or higher	60.5%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	35.6%
Education	Advanced degree	12.8%
Household	Family households	66.8%
Household	Avg household size	2.49
Household	Never married (15+)	29.6%
Housing	Median home value	$299,200
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,276
Housing	Single-family detached	70.3%
Housing	Built before 1940	3.9%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	2.1%
Housing	Vacant units	9.1%
Service	Veterans (18+)	6.5%
Health	With a disability	13.6%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	89.7%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	8.1%
Commute	Drove alone	72.3%
Commute	Public transit	0.5%
Commute	Worked from home	17.0%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$78,144	$78,435	$-291	$14,508	$46,760

Elections

2026 general house · NC-14 — running

Committees

CALDWELL FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
D (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2026-02-14	NORTH CAROLINA DEMOCRATIC PARTY - FEDERAL	24K	$3,000
2025-12-31	NORTH CAROLINA DEMOCRATIC PARTY - FEDERAL	24K	$3,000
2025-12-31	YELLOW DOG	24K	$5,000
2025-10-28	FRIENDS OF CHERI BUSTOS	24K	$1,000

Top individual donors (2026 cycle)

Via this candidate's principal committee CALDWELL FOR CONGRESS.

Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.

Donor	Employer / occupation	City, ST	Gifts	Total
BASS, DAVID	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	RALEIGH, NC	1	$750
CASTILLA, ISAIAH	SELF · CONSULTANT	WASHINGTON, DC	1	$500
PHAM, TOMMY	—	—, NC	1	$500
PHIFER, EDWARD	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	MORGANTON, NC	1	$500
BUMGARNER, ELIZABETH	ATRIUM · PHYSICIAN	CRAMERTON, NC	1	$250

Connected on the graph

Inbound (4)

date	from	type	amount	source
2026-02-14	NORTH CAROLINA DEMOCRATIC PARTY - FEDERAL	contributed_to	$3,000	pas2
2025-12-31	NORTH CAROLINA DEMOCRATIC PARTY - FEDERAL	contributed_to	$3,000	pas2
2025-12-31	YELLOW DOG	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-10-28	FRIENDS OF CHERI BUSTOS	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	CALDWELL FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees

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