CAVANAUGH, JOHN
D · house
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- FEC candidate id
H6NE02190- Internal id
528753ee-e220-44c3-bf78-d8581083d2b0- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NE-02. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 664,272 |
| People | Median age | 36 |
| Income | Median household income | $83,942 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $46,850 |
| Income | In poverty | 11.0% |
| Income | Unemployed | 3.6% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.477 |
| Race | White alone | 70.9% |
| Race | Black alone | 9.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 4.2% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 13.4% |
| Race | Two or more races | 9.8% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 9.8% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 84.7% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 9.3% |
| Education | High school or higher | 62.8% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 42.5% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 16.0% |
| Household | Family households | 61.9% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.46 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 34.4% |
| Housing | Median home value | $276,900 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,205 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 67.9% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.3% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.4% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 5.4% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.2% |
| Health | With a disability | 10.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 92.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 5.1% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 72.2% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.8% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 16.0% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $1,140,783 | $981,801 | $158,983 | $0 | $1,010,478 |
Elections
- 2026 general house · NE-2 — running
Committees
- JOHN CAVANAUGH FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Δ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $300,730 | $2,261,339 | 39 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | CONGRESSIONAL PROGRESSIVE CAUCUS PAC | support | $14,000 | Television Ad Production - Estimate |
| — | DMFI PAC | oppose | $1,211 | Television & Digital Advertising Production (Estimate) |
| — | FIGHT FOR NEBRASKA PAC | oppose | $1,135 | Phone Banking |
| — | FIGHT FOR NEBRASKA PAC | oppose | $1,135 | Phone Banking |
| — | FIGHT FOR NEBRASKA PAC | oppose | $1,135 | Phone Banking |
| — | FIGHT FOR NEBRASKA PAC | oppose | $1,135 | Phone Banking |
| 2026-05-12 | FIGHT FOR NEBRASKA PAC | oppose | $2,438 | Phone Banking |
| 2026-05-11 | FIGHT FOR NEBRASKA PAC | oppose | $3,220 | Texting Campaign |
| 2026-05-11 | FIGHT FOR NEBRASKA PAC | oppose | $522 | Texting Campaign |
| 2026-05-11 | FIGHT FOR NEBRASKA PAC | oppose | $1,413 | Phone Banking |
| 2026-05-11 | FIGHT FOR NEBRASKA PAC | oppose | $1,413 | Phone Banking |
| 2026-05-11 | FIGHT FOR NEBRASKA PAC | oppose | $1,413 | Phone Banking |
| 2026-05-11 | FIGHT FOR NEBRASKA PAC | oppose | $1,413 | Phone Banking |
| 2026-05-11 | FIGHT FOR NEBRASKA PAC | oppose | $2,707 | Phone Banking |
| 2026-05-08 | FIGHT FOR NEBRASKA PAC | oppose | $804 | Phone Banking |
| 2026-05-08 | FIGHT FOR NEBRASKA PAC | oppose | $804 | Phone Banking |
| 2026-05-08 | FIGHT FOR NEBRASKA PAC | oppose | $804 | Phone Banking |
| 2026-05-08 | FIGHT FOR NEBRASKA PAC | oppose | $804 | Phone Banking |
| 2026-05-08 | PROGRESSIVE PROMISE | support | $14,730 | Tv Advertisement Buy |
| 2026-05-05 | LEAD LEFT PAC | oppose | $293,225 | MEDIA PLACEMENT / MEDIA PRODUCTION |
| 2026-05-05 | LEAD LEFT PAC | oppose | $142,000 | MEDIA PLACEMENT / MEDIA PRODUCTION |
| 2026-05-01 | PRO-CHOICE MAJORITY 2026 | oppose | $121,028 | Television Advertising Buy (Estimate) |
| 2026-04-30 | FIGHT FOR NEBRASKA PAC | oppose | $42,747 | Mailers |
| 2026-04-29 | EDW ACTION FUND | oppose | $48,972 | Television Advertising Buy |
| 2026-04-28 | NEW DEMOCRAT MAJORITY | oppose | $9,641 | Television && Digital Advertising Production |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
Top individual donors (2026 cycle)
Via this candidate's principal committee JOHN CAVANAUGH FOR CONGRESS.
Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.
| Donor | Employer / occupation | City, ST | Gifts | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HANEY, WILLIAM | NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED | WAYLAND, MA | 1 | $3,500 |
| SCHULER, MARY JO | NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED | OAK PARK, IL | 1 | $3,000 |
| STODDARD, DIANNE | NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED | VIENNA, VA | 1 | $1,000 |
| LIEBEN, THOMAS | INDUNA · PARTNER | OMAHA, NE | 1 | $1,000 |
| REDMOND, RALPH | SELF-EMPLOYED · CONTRACTOR | INDIANAPOLIS, IN | 1 | $1,000 |
| BINDERUP, JOHN | COUNTRY STYLE COUSINE RESTURANT · SERVICE MANAGER | OMAHA, NE | 1 | $500 |
| CORWIN, LINDA F | NOT EMPLOYED · RETIRED | BLOOMFIELD, NM | 1 | $500 |
| SUTTLE, JAMES H | NOT EMPLOYED / NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED | OMAHA, NE | 1 | $500 |
| SCUDDER, EARL H | SCUDDER LAW FIRM P.C. · BUSINESS LAWYER | LINCOLN, NE | 1 | $500 |
| SEIDEL, THOMAS W | N/A · NOT EMPLOYED | OMAHA, NE | 1 | $500 |
| BURNS, MORGAN | FAEGRE DRINKER BIDDLE & REATH · ATTORNEY | MINNEAPOLIS, MN | 1 | $500 |
| FORNEY, GLEN | SELF-EMPLOYED · PHYSICIAN | SCOTTSBLUFF, NE | 1 | $500 |
| SCOTT, SUSAN | ANSWER PLUS · MANAGER | LINCOLN, NE | 1 | $500 |
| TAGGART, RUSH | N/A · NOT EMPLOYED / NOT EMPLOYED | VALLEY FORGE, PA | 1 | $500 |
| CASS, BENJAMIN | MUTUAL OF OMAHA · MUTUAL OF OMAHA / SOFTWARE ENGINEER | OMAHA, NE | 2 | $400 |
| OTTO, JIM | 7TH CIVIL SUPPORT COMMAND · COMMAND EXECUTIVE OFFICER | LINCOLN, NE | 1 | $300 |
| TAYLOR, ROBERT | INVENERGY · VICE PRESIDENT OF TRANSMISSION NEW MAR | OAK PARK, IL | 1 | $250 |
| BELKA, MARY M | EISENHART CONSULTING GROUP INC. · INSURANCE INDUSTRY CONSULTANT | LINCOLN, NE | 1 | $250 |
| LANCASTER, TODD | NE COMMISSION ON PUBLIC ADVOCACY · ATTORNEY | LINCOLN, NE | 1 | $250 |
| CANEDY, BRENDA | N/A · NOT EMPLOYED | OMAHA, NE | 1 | $250 |
| FRIEDBERG, RICHARD | N/A · NOT EMPLOYED / NOT EMPLOYED | NEW YORK, NY | 1 | $250 |
| VOELKER, JANET | N/A · NOT EMPLOYED | OMAHA, NE | 2 | $200 |
| FITZGERALD, RICHARD D | SELF · HEALTHCARE | OMAHA, NE | 2 | $200 |
| HARDING, MARY A | MS. · REAL ESTATE MANAGEMENT | PLATTSMOUTH, NE | 1 | $150 |
| EICKHOLT, CHRISTOPHER | EICKHOLT LAW LLC · ATTORNEY | LINCOLN, NE | 1 | $100 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (100)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | FIGHT FOR NEBRASKA PAC | opposes_independently | $1,135 | fec_ies | |
| — | FIGHT FOR NEBRASKA PAC | opposes_independently | $1,135 | fec_ies | |
| — | FIGHT FOR NEBRASKA PAC | opposes_independently | $1,135 | fec_ies | |
| — | FIGHT FOR NEBRASKA PAC | opposes_independently | $1,135 | fec_ies | |
| — | CONGRESSIONAL PROGRESSIVE CAUCUS PAC | supports_independently | $14,000 | fec_ies | |
| — | DMFI PAC | opposes_independently | $1,211 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-05-12 | FIGHT FOR NEBRASKA PAC | opposes_independently | $2,438 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-05-11 | FIGHT FOR NEBRASKA PAC | opposes_independently | $2,707 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-05-11 | FIGHT FOR NEBRASKA PAC | opposes_independently | $522 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-05-11 | FIGHT FOR NEBRASKA PAC | opposes_independently | $3,220 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-05-11 | FIGHT FOR NEBRASKA PAC | opposes_independently | $1,413 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-05-11 | FIGHT FOR NEBRASKA PAC | opposes_independently | $1,413 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-05-11 | FIGHT FOR NEBRASKA PAC | opposes_independently | $1,413 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-05-11 | FIGHT FOR NEBRASKA PAC | opposes_independently | $1,413 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-05-08 | FIGHT FOR NEBRASKA PAC | opposes_independently | $804 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-05-08 | FIGHT FOR NEBRASKA PAC | opposes_independently | $804 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-05-08 | PROGRESSIVE PROMISE | supports_independently | $14,730 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-05-08 | FIGHT FOR NEBRASKA PAC | opposes_independently | $804 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-05-08 | FIGHT FOR NEBRASKA PAC | opposes_independently | $804 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-05-05 | LEAD LEFT PAC | opposes_independently | $293,225 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-05-05 | LEAD LEFT PAC | opposes_independently | $142,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-05-01 | PRO-CHOICE MAJORITY 2026 | opposes_independently | $121,028 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-04-30 | FIGHT FOR NEBRASKA PAC | opposes_independently | $42,747 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-04-29 | EDW ACTION FUND | opposes_independently | $48,972 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-04-28 | NEW DEMOCRAT MAJORITY | opposes_independently | $9,641 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-04-27 | NEW DEMOCRAT MAJORITY | opposes_independently | $428,412 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-04-24 | NEW DEMOCRAT MAJORITY | opposes_independently | $297,159 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-04-24 | DMFI PAC | opposes_independently | $659 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-04-23 | FIGHT FOR NEBRASKA PAC | opposes_independently | $91,574 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-04-23 | WOMEN VOTE | opposes_independently | $3,682 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-04-20 | CONGRESSIONAL PROGRESSIVE CAUCUS PAC | supports_independently | $272,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-04-17 | WOMEN VOTE | opposes_independently | $90,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-04-17 | EDW ACTION FUND | opposes_independently | $150,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-04-13 | FIGHT FOR NEBRASKA PAC | opposes_independently | $51,722 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-04-13 | FIGHT FOR NEBRASKA PAC | opposes_independently | $52,642 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-04-13 | FIGHT FOR NEBRASKA PAC | opposes_independently | $93,234 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-04-09 | FIGHT FOR NEBRASKA PAC | opposes_independently | $241,260 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-04-03 | FIGHT FOR NEBRASKA PAC | opposes_independently | $47,376 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-03-31 | JAMIE RASKIN FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-31 | PEOPLE OVER MONOPOLIES | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $3,000 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2026-03-31 | JAMIE RASKIN FOR CONGRESS | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $2,000 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2026-03-31 | PEOPLE OVER MONOPOLIES | contributed_to | $3,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-31 | JAMIE RASKIN FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-31 | JAMIE RASKIN FOR CONGRESS | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $2,000 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2026-03-29 | IRISH AMERICAN DEMOCRATS | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $500 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2026-03-29 | IRISH AMERICAN DEMOCRATS | contributed_to | $500 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-24 | FIGHT FOR NEBRASKA PAC | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $32,500 | 24A | fec_pas2 |
| 2026-03-24 | FIGHT FOR NEBRASKA PAC | contributed_to | $32,500 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-24 | YINZER PAC | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $1,000 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2026-03-24 | YINZER PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-24 | FIGHT FOR NEBRASKA PAC | opposes_independently | $32,500 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-03-19 | SIERRA CLUB INDEPENDENT ACTION | contributed_to | $10 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-19 | SIERRA CLUB INDEPENDENT ACTION | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $10 | 24E | fec_pas2 |
| 2026-03-18 | BLUE MAJORITY PAC | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $2,000 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2026-03-18 | BLUE MAJORITY PAC | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-16 | NATIONAL COMMITTEE TO PRESERVE SOCIAL SECURITY & MEDICARE PAC | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $1,470 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2026-03-16 | NATIONAL COMMITTEE TO PRESERVE SOCIAL SECURITY & MEDICARE PAC | contributed_to | $1,470 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-04 | BLUE MAJORITY PAC | contributed_to | $305 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-04 | BLUE MAJORITY PAC | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $86 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2026-03-04 | BLUE MAJORITY PAC | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $305 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2026-03-04 | BLUE MAJORITY PAC | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $305 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2026-03-04 | BLUE MAJORITY PAC | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $69 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2026-03-04 | BLUE MAJORITY PAC | contributed_to | $69 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-04 | BLUE MAJORITY PAC | contributed_to | $305 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-04 | BLUE MAJORITY PAC | contributed_to | $86 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-03 | BLUE MAJORITY PAC | contributed_to | $5 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-03 | BLUE MAJORITY PAC | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $5 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2026-03-02 | BLUE MAJORITY PAC | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $62 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2026-03-02 | BLUE MAJORITY PAC | contributed_to | $62 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-24 | NEBRASKA DEMOCRATIC PARTY | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $385 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2026-02-24 | NEBRASKA DEMOCRATIC PARTY | contributed_to | $385 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-19 | PROGRESSIVE CHOICES PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-19 | PROGRESSIVE CHOICES PAC | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $1,000 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2026-02-18 | ALLIANCE FOR RETIRED AMERICANS POLITICAL ACTION FUND | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $1,000 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2026-02-18 | ALLIANCE FOR RETIRED AMERICANS POLITICAL ACTION FUND | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-17 | MACHINISTS NON PARTISAN POLITICAL LEAGUE OF THE INTERNATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF MACHINISTS & AEROSPACE WORKERS | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-17 | MACHINISTS NON PARTISAN POLITICAL LEAGUE OF THE INTERNATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF MACHINISTS & AEROSPACE WORKERS | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $5,000 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2026-02-03 | BLUE MAJORITY PAC | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $223 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2026-02-03 | BLUE MAJORITY PAC | contributed_to | $223 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-02 | BLUE MAJORITY PAC | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $228 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2026-02-02 | BLUE MAJORITY PAC | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $21 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2026-02-02 | NATIONAL ELEVATOR CONSTRUCTORS PAC/ INTN'L UNION OF ELEVATOR CONSTRUCTORS (NEC PAC) | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $5,000 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2026-02-02 | BLUE MAJORITY PAC | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $21 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2026-02-02 | BLUE MAJORITY PAC | contributed_to | $228 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-02 | BLUE MAJORITY PAC | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $127 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2026-02-02 | BLUE MAJORITY PAC | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $22 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2026-02-02 | BLUE MAJORITY PAC | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $228 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2026-02-02 | NATIONAL ELEVATOR CONSTRUCTORS PAC/ INTN'L UNION OF ELEVATOR CONSTRUCTORS (NEC PAC) | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-02 | BLUE MAJORITY PAC | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $21 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2026-02-02 | BLUE MAJORITY PAC | contributed_to | $22 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-02 | BLUE MAJORITY PAC | contributed_to | $21 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-02 | BLUE MAJORITY PAC | contributed_to | $21 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-02 | BLUE MAJORITY PAC | contributed_to | $21 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-02 | BLUE MAJORITY PAC | contributed_to | $127 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-02 | BLUE MAJORITY PAC | contributed_to | $228 | pas2 | |
| 2026-01-21 | INTERNATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF HEAT AND FROST INSULATORS AND ALLIED WORKERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-01-21 | INTERNATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF HEAT AND FROST INSULATORS AND ALLIED WORKERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $1,000 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2026-01-14 | AMALGAMATED TRANSIT UNION - COPE | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-01-14 | AMALGAMATED TRANSIT UNION - COPE | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $5,000 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2025-12-30 | JSTREETPAC | contributed_to | $500 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | principal_candidate_of | JOHN CAVANAUGH FOR CONGRESS | — | candidate_committees |