SHEA-PORTER, CAROL
D Β· house Β· bioguide S001170
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- FEC candidate id
H6NH01230- Internal id
304f1d98-a5ea-45ab-94e8-5c495899c16e- Status
- incumbent
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NH-01. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 698,446 |
| People | Median age | 43 |
| Income | Median household income | $100,838 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $53,653 |
| Income | In poverty | 7.0% |
| Income | Unemployed | 3.3% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.438 |
| Race | White alone | 87.7% |
| Race | Black alone | 1.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.5% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 4.8% |
| Race | Two or more races | 6.5% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 6.0% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 91.9% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 2.7% |
| Education | High school or higher | 66.9% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 41.5% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 15.5% |
| Household | Family households | 63.8% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.42 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 30.9% |
| Housing | Median home value | $429,400 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,563 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 60.6% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.6% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.3% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 14.1% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.5% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 93.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 4.2% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 71.8% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.6% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 17.2% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | $273,533 | $211,260 | $66,089 | $0 | $159,184 |
| 2016 | $1,537,930 | $1,554,745 | $3,816 | $0 | $1,024,243 |
| 2014 | $1,710,602 | $1,714,915 | $20,632 | $0 | $1,131,736 |
| 2012 | $1,720,667 | $1,696,703 | $24,945 | $0 | $1,191,010 |
| 2010 | $1,647,774 | $1,682,124 | $980 | $6,350 | $1,089,819 |
| 2008 | $1,543,517 | $1,576,902 | $35,329 | $0 | $943,535 |
| 2006 | $360,381 | $291,667 | $68,714 | $0 | $306,392 |
Elections
- 2006 general house Β· NH-1 β won
- 2008 general house Β· NH-1 β won
- 2010 general house Β· NH-1 β won
- 2012 general house Β· NH-1 β won
- 2014 general house Β· NH-1 β won
- 2016 general house Β· NH-1 β won
- 2018 general house Β· NH-1 β lost_general
Committees
- DEFEAT BAD LEADERS 2020 β principal Β· type N
- DEFEAT BAD LEADERS 2020 β independent Β· type N
- GRASSROOT GAINS COMMITTEE β joint_fundraising Β· type H
- NEW HAMPSHIRE VICTORY FUND β joint_fundraising Β· type N
Recent votes
No votes on file.
Sponsored & cosponsored bills
No sponsorships on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 99.0%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| incumbent | +78.0% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (4)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | independent_committee_of | DEFEAT BAD LEADERS 2020 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | NEW HAMPSHIRE VICTORY FUND | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | GRASSROOT GAINS COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | DEFEAT BAD LEADERS 2020 | β | candidate_committees |