BAILEY, MELISSA
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H6NH01347- Internal id
3e284839-5162-47fc-8500-4581dbc34919- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NH-01. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 698,446 |
| People | Median age | 43 |
| Income | Median household income | $100,838 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $53,653 |
| Income | In poverty | 7.0% |
| Income | Unemployed | 3.3% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.438 |
| Race | White alone | 87.7% |
| Race | Black alone | 1.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.5% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 4.8% |
| Race | Two or more races | 6.5% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 6.0% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 91.9% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 2.7% |
| Education | High school or higher | 66.9% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 41.5% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 15.5% |
| Household | Family households | 63.8% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.42 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 30.9% |
| Housing | Median home value | $429,400 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,563 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 60.6% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.6% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.3% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 14.1% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.5% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 93.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 4.2% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 71.8% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.6% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 17.2% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $229,364 | $72,850 | $156,514 | $126,500 | $99,148 |
Elections
- 2026 general house Β· NH-1 β running
Committees
- MELISSA BAILEY FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Top individual donors (2026 cycle)
Via this candidate's principal committee MELISSA BAILEY FOR CONGRESS.
Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.
| Donor | Employer / occupation | City, ST | Gifts | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EHRLICH, ANDY | β Β· LOBBYIST | FALLS CHURCH, VA | 1 | $500 |
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | MELISSA BAILEY FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |